Football · South Korea K3 League · 26/07, 12:00

Prediction: Chuncheon FC vs Ulsan Citizen FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Chuncheon FC1.33

Ulsan Citizen FC1.35

1X2

35% 28% 36%

Chuncheon FC Draw Ulsan Citizen FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Chuncheon FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Ulsan Citizen FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chuncheon FC 2–1–3 Ulsan Citizen FC (6 last)

Ulsan Citizen FC2-1Chuncheon FC
Ulsan Citizen FC2-1Chuncheon FC
Chuncheon FC0-0Ulsan Citizen FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ulsan Citizen FC (rating 1462 vs 1520).
H2H favours Ulsan Citizen FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chuncheon FC	Ulsan Citizen FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.6	1.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.92

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:58

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.10▲	Pinn 2.10
X	3.24 → 3.21▼	Pinn 3.21
2	3.70 → 3.44▼	Pinn 3.44

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:51	2.00	3.24	3.70
14:56 +1’	2.10▲	3.21▼	3.44▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chuncheon FC 2–1–3 Ulsan Citizen FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 South Korea Cup	Ulsan Citizen FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Chuncheon FC
05/04/26 South Korea K3 League	Ulsan Citizen FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Chuncheon FC
17/08/25 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Ulsan Citizen FC
20/04/25 South Korea K3 League	Ulsan Citizen FC	1-3 HT 0-0	Chuncheon FC
17/08/24 South Korea K3 League	Ulsan Citizen FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Chuncheon FC
20/04/24 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Ulsan Citizen FC

Standings · South Korea K3 League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	17	12	4	1	24	14	40
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	17	10	5	2	30	15	35
3	Daejeon Korail	17	9	4	4	27	12	31
4	Busan Trans Corp	17	8	6	3	26	13	30
5	Dangjin Citizen FC	18	7	4	7	29	26	25
6	Changwon City	17	6	7	4	18	16	25
7	Yeoju	17	5	6	6	20	22	21
8	Gyeongju HNP	17	4	7	6	23	24	19
9	Ulsan Citizen FC	17	5	4	8	17	19	19
10	Gangneung City	17	5	4	8	15	26	19
11	Chuncheon FC	17	4	5	8	30	29	17
12	Yangpyeong FC	17	3	7	7	20	29	16
13	Mokpo City	17	2	9	6	14	25	15
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	18	1	6	11	19	42	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chuncheon FC	Ulsan Citizen FC
Changwon City	1-1 D	0-2 L
Siheung City AC	2-3 L	1-0 W
Daejeon Korail	3-3 D	2-2 D
Pocheon Citizen FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Chuncheon FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
04/07	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea Cup	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
27/06	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	3-3	2	6	D
20/06	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	2-2	2-3	2	2	L
13/06	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
06/06	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	2-2	3-3	1	6	D
30/05	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-2	3	2	D
23/05	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	1-2	3-2	7	2	W
16/05	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	3-0	6-1	5	0	W
09/05	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	2	4	L

Ulsan Citizen FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/07	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea Cup	2-1	2-2	3	4	D
10/07	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
04/07	Chuncheon FC South Korea Cup	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
27/06	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	1-0	4-1	6	1	W
20/06	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
13/06	Siheung City AC South Korea K3/K4 Championship	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
06/06	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
30/05	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
27/05	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3/K4 Championship	2-1	2-2	4	3	D
23/05	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-2	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chuncheon FC vs Ulsan Citizen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ulsan Citizen FC win (36%). Probabilities: Chuncheon FC 35%, draw 28%, Ulsan Citizen FC 36%.

How many goals are expected in Chuncheon FC vs Ulsan Citizen FC?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Chuncheon FC 1.33 · Ulsan Citizen FC 1.35), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chuncheon FC vs Ulsan Citizen FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.