Football · South Korea K3 League · 30/08, 12:00

Prediction: Mokpo City vs Yeoju

Team pages: Mokpo City · Yeoju

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Mokpo City1.19

Yeoju1.17

1X2

35% 31% 34%

Mokpo City Draw Yeoju

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Mokpo City 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDDDLWLL

Yeoju 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWLWDLDW

Head-to-head

Mokpo City 2–1–3 Yeoju (6 last)

Yeoju2-3Mokpo City
Mokpo City0-3Yeoju
Yeoju3-1Mokpo City
Yeoju2-2Mokpo City
Mokpo City2-3Yeoju
Yeoju1-2Mokpo City

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yeoju (rating 1444 vs 1495).
H2H favours Yeoju: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mokpo City	Yeoju
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.2	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.2	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:55

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.79 → 2.79	Pinn 2.79
X	2.99 → 2.99	Pinn 2.99
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:45 +10’	2.79	2.99	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mokpo City 2–1–3 Yeoju

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 South Korea K3 League	Yeoju	2-3 HT 2-2	Mokpo City
12/07/25 South Korea K3 League	Mokpo City	0-3 HT 0-0	Yeoju
16/03/25 South Korea K3 League	Yeoju	3-1 HT 1-1	Mokpo City
09/03/25 South Korea Cup	Yeoju	2-2 HT 1-0	Mokpo City
29/06/24 South Korea K3 League	Mokpo City	2-3 HT 0-0	Yeoju
02/03/24 South Korea K3 League	Yeoju	1-2 HT 0-1	Mokpo City

Standings · South Korea K3 League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	19	13	4	2	26	15	43
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	19	11	6	2	33	16	39
3	Busan Trans Corp	19	10	6	3	34	18	36
4	Daejeon Korail	20	10	5	5	30	16	35
5	Dangjin Citizen FC	21	8	4	9	39	33	28
6	Changwon City	19	6	8	5	22	21	26
7	Gangneung City	20	7	5	8	19	28	26
8	Yeoju	19	6	7	6	23	24	25
9	Chuncheon FC	20	6	5	9	36	34	23
10	Gyeongju HNP	19	5	8	6	27	27	23
11	Ulsan Citizen FC	19	6	4	9	19	21	22
12	Yangpyeong FC	20	3	8	9	26	38	17
13	Mokpo City	19	2	9	8	15	33	15
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	21	1	7	13	21	46	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mokpo City	Yeoju
Dangjin Citizen FC	1-6 L	2-1 W
Gangneung City	2-1 W	1-1 D
Ulsan Citizen FC	1-4 L	0-1 L
Changwon City	1-1 D	2-2 D
Yangpyeong FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Siheung City AC	1-1 D	0-1 L
Daejeon Korail	0-3 L	1-0 W
Gyeongju HNP	0-1 L	0-0 D
Busan Trans Corp	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 5 L	3 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Yeoju (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mokpo City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
25/07	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-2	1-6	4	4	L
11/07	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
27/06	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-4	4	1	L
20/06	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
07/06	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
31/05	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
23/05	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
17/05	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
09/05	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-3	3	4	L

Yeoju

LDDWLWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
25/07	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
10/07	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
27/06	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-2	3	1	D
20/06	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-1	2	9	W
07/06	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
31/05	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
23/05	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
16/05	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
09/05	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	0-2	0-2	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mokpo City vs Yeoju?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mokpo City win (35%). Probabilities: Mokpo City 35%, draw 31%, Yeoju 34%.

How many goals are expected in Mokpo City vs Yeoju?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Mokpo City 1.19 · Yeoju 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mokpo City vs Yeoju?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.