Football · South Korea K3 League · 06/09, 10:00

Prediction: Yangpyeong FC vs Siheung City AC

Team pages: Yangpyeong FC · Siheung City AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Yangpyeong FC0.97

Siheung City AC1.57

1X2

23% 27% 51%

Yangpyeong FC Draw Siheung City AC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Yangpyeong FC 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Siheung City AC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWWDLLWW

Head-to-head

Yangpyeong FC 1–1–4 Siheung City AC (6 last)

Siheung City AC1-0Yangpyeong FC
Yangpyeong FC2-0Siheung City AC
Siheung City AC0-0Yangpyeong FC
Siheung City AC6-0Yangpyeong FC
Yangpyeong FC0-2Siheung City AC
Siheung City AC4-2Yangpyeong FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yangpyeong FC 1449 · Siheung City AC 1522

	Yangpyeong FC	Draw	Siheung City AC
Our model	22%	28%	50%
Market	23%	26%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Siheung City AC (rating 1449 vs 1522).
H2H favours Siheung City AC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yangpyeong FC	Siheung City AC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.9	2.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.40

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.25 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.81

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:55 +25’	3.90	3.40	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:20 +1’	4.44	3.41	1.74
20:57 +3’	4.13▼	3.31▼	1.83▲
06:59 +1’	4.13	3.29▼	1.81▼
10:16	4.25▲	3.28▼	1.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yangpyeong FC 1–1–4 Siheung City AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 South Korea K3 League	Siheung City AC	1-0 HT 1-0	Yangpyeong FC
13/09/25 South Korea K3 League	Yangpyeong FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Siheung City AC
17/05/25 South Korea K3 League	Siheung City AC	0-0 HT 0-0	Yangpyeong FC
06/07/24 South Korea K3 League	Siheung City AC	6-0 HT 3-0	Yangpyeong FC
17/03/24 South Korea K3 League	Yangpyeong FC	0-2 HT 0-2	Siheung City AC
20/08/23 South Korea K3 League	Siheung City AC	4-2 HT 3-1	Yangpyeong FC

Standings · South Korea K3 League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	20	14	4	2	29	17	46
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	20	11	6	3	35	19	39
3	Busan Trans Corp	20	10	6	4	35	20	36
4	Daejeon Korail	20	10	5	5	30	16	35
5	Dangjin Citizen FC	21	8	4	9	39	33	28
6	Changwon City	19	6	8	5	22	21	26
7	Gangneung City	20	7	5	8	19	28	26
8	Ulsan Citizen FC	20	7	4	9	21	22	25
9	Yeoju	20	6	7	7	23	25	25
10	Chuncheon FC	20	6	5	9	36	34	23
11	Gyeongju HNP	19	5	8	6	27	27	23
12	Mokpo City	20	3	9	8	16	33	18
13	Yangpyeong FC	20	3	8	9	26	38	17
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	21	1	7	13	21	46	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yangpyeong FC	Siheung City AC
Daejeon Korail	1-2 L	2-0 W
Gyeongju HNP	3-3 D	0-1 L
Busan Trans Corp	2-4 L	0-2 L
Jeonbuk Motors II	5-2 W	1-1 D
Chuncheon FC	3-3 D	3-2 W
Yeoju	1-2 L	1-0 W
Mokpo City	0-0 D	1-1 D
Dangjin Citizen FC	1-3 L	2-1 W
Gangneung City	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 5 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Siheung City AC (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yangpyeong FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
22/08	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-2	3-3	5	3	D
26/07	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	2-1	2-4	2	4	L
12/07	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	2-1	5-2	4	5	W
27/06	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	3-3	2	6	D
20/06	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-2	8	9	L
07/06	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
30/05	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-1	1-3	3	6	L
23/05	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
16/05	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-0	5	2	D

Siheung City AC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	3-0	3-2	6	5	W
23/08	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-0	8	7	W
25/07	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
11/07	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	0-2	0-2	9	0	L
27/06	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
20/06	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	2-2	3-2	4	2	W
07/06	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
31/05	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
23/05	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
17/05	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yangpyeong FC vs Siheung City AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Siheung City AC win (51%). Probabilities: Yangpyeong FC 23%, draw 27%, Siheung City AC 51%.

How many goals are expected in Yangpyeong FC vs Siheung City AC?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Yangpyeong FC 0.97 · Siheung City AC 1.57), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Yangpyeong FC vs Siheung City AC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.