Football · South Korea K3 League · 06/09, 12:00

Prediction: Mokpo City vs Chuncheon FC

Team pages: Mokpo City · Chuncheon FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Mokpo City1.21

Chuncheon FC1.49

1X2

30% 28% 43%

Mokpo City Draw Chuncheon FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Mokpo City 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDDLWLLW

Chuncheon FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDLDDWLW

Head-to-head

Mokpo City 2–3–1 Chuncheon FC (6 last)

Chuncheon FC1-1Mokpo City
Chuncheon FC0-0Mokpo City
Mokpo City1-0Chuncheon FC
Chuncheon FC3-2Mokpo City
Chuncheon FC2-3Mokpo City
Mokpo City2-2Chuncheon FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mokpo City 1466 · Chuncheon FC 1493

	Mokpo City	Draw	Chuncheon FC
Our model	30%	28%	42%
Market	30%	27%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mokpo City: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mokpo City	Chuncheon FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.9	2.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	1.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.30

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 1.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.18
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.23 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:48 +36’	3.00	3.30	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:24	3.14	3.18	2.18
07:05	3.18▲	3.03▼	2.23▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 3 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mokpo City 2–3–1 Chuncheon FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 South Korea League Cup	Chuncheon FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Mokpo City
26/04/26 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Mokpo City
08/11/25 South Korea K3 League	Mokpo City	1-0 HT 0-0	Chuncheon FC
28/06/25 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	3-2 HT 1-0	Mokpo City
26/07/24 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	2-3 HT 2-0	Mokpo City
13/04/24 South Korea K3 League	Mokpo City	2-2 HT 2-1	Chuncheon FC

Standings · South Korea K3 League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	20	14	4	2	29	17	46
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	20	11	6	3	35	19	39
3	Busan Trans Corp	20	10	6	4	35	20	36
4	Daejeon Korail	20	10	5	5	30	16	35
5	Dangjin Citizen FC	21	8	4	9	39	33	28
6	Changwon City	19	6	8	5	22	21	26
7	Gangneung City	20	7	5	8	19	28	26
8	Ulsan Citizen FC	20	7	4	9	21	22	25
9	Yeoju	20	6	7	7	23	25	25
10	Chuncheon FC	20	6	5	9	36	34	23
11	Gyeongju HNP	19	5	8	6	27	27	23
12	Mokpo City	20	3	9	8	16	33	18
13	Yangpyeong FC	20	3	8	9	26	38	17
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	21	1	7	13	21	46	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mokpo City	Chuncheon FC
Dangjin Citizen FC	1-6 L	4-3 W
Gangneung City	2-1 W	0-1 L
Ulsan Citizen FC	1-4 L	2-1 W
Changwon City	1-1 D	1-1 D
Yangpyeong FC	0-0 D	3-3 D
Siheung City AC	1-1 D	2-3 L
Daejeon Korail	0-3 L	3-3 D
Gyeongju HNP	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chuncheon FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mokpo City

LLDDDLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
22/08	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
25/07	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-2	1-6	4	4	L
11/07	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
27/06	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-4	4	1	L
20/06	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
07/06	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
31/05	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
23/05	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
17/05	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	1	3	L

Chuncheon FC

WWDDLDDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	4-3	5	1	W
23/08	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
26/07	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
12/07	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
27/06	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	3-3	2	6	D
20/06	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	2-2	2-3	2	2	L
06/06	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	2-2	3-3	1	6	D
30/05	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-2	3	2	D
23/05	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	1-2	3-2	7	2	W
16/05	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	3-0	6-1	5	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mokpo City vs Chuncheon FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chuncheon FC win (43%). Probabilities: Mokpo City 30%, draw 28%, Chuncheon FC 43%.

How many goals are expected in Mokpo City vs Chuncheon FC?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Mokpo City 1.21 · Chuncheon FC 1.49), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mokpo City vs Chuncheon FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.