Football · South Korea K3 League · 18/07, 12:00
Prediction: Dangjin Citizen FC vs Jeonbuk Motors II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Dangjin Citizen FC1.95
Jeonbuk Motors II1.21
1X2
Dangjin Citizen FC
Draw
Jeonbuk Motors II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dangjin Citizen FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Jeonbuk Motors II
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dangjin Citizen FC
1–4
Jeonbuk Motors II
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dangjin Citizen FC 1512 · Jeonbuk Motors II 1425
| Dangjin Citizen FC | Draw | Jeonbuk Motors II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dangjin Citizen FC (rating 1512 vs 1425).
- H2H favours Jeonbuk Motors II: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dangjin Citizen FC | Jeonbuk Motors II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.9 | 1.5 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dangjin Citizen FC 1–0–4 Jeonbuk Motors II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 South Korea K3 League | Jeonbuk Motors II | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Dangjin Citizen FC |
| 28/09/24 South Korea K4 League | Dangjin Citizen FC | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Jeonbuk Motors II |
| 02/06/24 South Korea K4 League | Jeonbuk Motors II | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Dangjin Citizen FC |
| 10/09/23 South Korea K4 League | Dangjin Citizen FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors II |
| 07/05/23 South Korea K4 League | Jeonbuk Motors II | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dangjin Citizen FC |
Standings · South Korea K3 League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung City AC | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 14 | 40 |
| 2 | Pocheon Citizen FC | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 15 | 35 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 31 |
| 4 | Busan Trans Corp | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Changwon City | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 25 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 22 |
| 7 | Yeoju | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| 8 | Gyeongju HNP | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 19 |
| 9 | Ulsan Citizen FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 19 |
| 10 | Gangneung City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 19 |
| 11 | Chuncheon FC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 17 |
| 12 | Yangpyeong FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 16 |
| 13 | Mokpo City | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 15 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 40 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dangjin Citizen FC | Jeonbuk Motors II |
|---|---|---|
| Pocheon Citizen FC | 1-1 D | 1-5 L |
| Yangpyeong FC | 3-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Siheung City AC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Daejeon Korail | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Dangjin Citizen FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dangjin Citizen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Yongin FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Haman South Korea Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
3-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
Jeonbuk Motors II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Yeoju South Korea League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dangjin Citizen FC vs Jeonbuk Motors II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dangjin Citizen FC win (53%). Probabilities: Dangjin Citizen FC 53%, draw 25%, Jeonbuk Motors II 22%.
How many goals are expected in Dangjin Citizen FC vs Jeonbuk Motors II?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Dangjin Citizen FC 1.95 · Jeonbuk Motors II 1.21), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dangjin Citizen FC vs Jeonbuk Motors II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.