Football · South Korea K3 League · 13/09, 10:00

Prediction: Jeonbuk Motors II vs Mokpo City

Team pages: Jeonbuk Motors II · Mokpo City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Jeonbuk Motors II1.16

Mokpo City1.39

1X2

31% 28% 41%

Jeonbuk Motors II Draw Mokpo City

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Jeonbuk Motors II 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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Mokpo City 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Jeonbuk Motors II 1–2–0 Mokpo City (3 last)

Mokpo City1-1Jeonbuk Motors II
Jeonbuk Motors II1-0Mokpo City
Mokpo City1-1Jeonbuk Motors II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jeonbuk Motors II 1424 · Mokpo City 1445

	Jeonbuk Motors II	Draw	Mokpo City
Our model	30%	29%	41%
Market	31%	27%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jeonbuk Motors II	Mokpo City
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.4	0.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.1	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.6	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.30

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 3.01 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:51 +1’	2.88	3.30	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:29 +124’	3.05	3.24	2.20
13:36 +256’	3.01▼	3.24	2.22▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeonbuk Motors II 1–2–0 Mokpo City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 South Korea K3 League	Mokpo City	1-1 HT 1-1	Jeonbuk Motors II
13/09/25 South Korea K3 League	Jeonbuk Motors II	1-0 HT 1-0	Mokpo City
17/05/25 South Korea K3 League	Mokpo City	1-1 HT 1-1	Jeonbuk Motors II

Standings · South Korea K3 League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	21	15	4	2	32	18	49
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	21	12	6	3	36	19	42
3	Daejeon Korail	22	11	5	6	31	17	38
4	Busan Trans Corp	21	10	7	4	36	21	37
5	Dangjin Citizen FC	21	8	4	9	39	33	28
6	Ulsan Citizen FC	22	8	4	10	23	24	28
7	Gangneung City	21	7	6	8	20	29	27
8	Chuncheon FC	21	7	5	9	37	34	26
9	Gyeongju HNP	20	6	8	6	29	28	26
10	Changwon City	20	6	8	6	22	22	26
11	Yeoju	21	6	7	8	23	26	25
12	Mokpo City	21	3	9	9	16	34	18
13	Yangpyeong FC	21	3	8	10	27	41	17
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	21	1	7	13	21	46	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jeonbuk Motors II	Mokpo City
Gangneung City	1-2 L	2-1 W
Ulsan Citizen FC	0-1 L	1-4 L
Changwon City	1-1 D	1-1 D
Dangjin Citizen FC	0-2 L	1-6 L
Yangpyeong FC	2-5 L	0-0 D
Siheung City AC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Daejeon Korail	0-4 L	0-3 L
Pocheon Citizen FC	1-5 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 6 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mokpo City (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jeonbuk Motors II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
23/08	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
26/07	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
18/07	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
12/07	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	1-2	2-5	2	5	L
27/06	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
20/06	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-4	4	3	L
06/06	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-1	2	2	D
30/05	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
23/05	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-3	1-5	1	5	L

Mokpo City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
30/08	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
22/08	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
25/07	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-2	1-6	4	4	L
11/07	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
27/06	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-4	4	1	L
20/06	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
07/06	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
31/05	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
23/05	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-3	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jeonbuk Motors II vs Mokpo City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mokpo City win (41%). Probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors II 31%, draw 28%, Mokpo City 41%.

How many goals are expected in Jeonbuk Motors II vs Mokpo City?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Jeonbuk Motors II 1.16 · Mokpo City 1.39), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jeonbuk Motors II vs Mokpo City?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.