Football · South Korea K3 League · 12/09, 10:00

Prediction: Chuncheon FC vs Yeoju

Team pages: Chuncheon FC · Yeoju

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Chuncheon FC1.42

Yeoju1.15

1X2

42% 28% 30%

Chuncheon FC Draw Yeoju

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Chuncheon FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLDDWLWW

Yeoju 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWDLDWLL

Head-to-head

Chuncheon FC 0–1–5 Yeoju (6 last)

Yeoju1-0Chuncheon FC
Chuncheon FC1-2Yeoju
Chuncheon FC1-2Yeoju
Yeoju0-0Chuncheon FC
Yeoju1-0Chuncheon FC
Chuncheon FC0-1Yeoju

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chuncheon FC 1481 · Yeoju 1520

	Chuncheon FC	Draw	Yeoju
Our model	42%	29%	29%
Market	43%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Yeoju: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chuncheon FC	Yeoju
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.9	0.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.3	1.4 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.25

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.36
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.91 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:24 +6’	2.10	3.25	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:07 +23’	1.84	3.35	3.98
10:02 +28’	1.85▲	3.36▲	3.91▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chuncheon FC 0–1–5 Yeoju

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 South Korea K3 League	Yeoju	1-0 HT 0-0	Chuncheon FC
03/10/25 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Yeoju
03/10/25 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Yeoju
08/06/25 South Korea K3 League	Yeoju	0-0 HT 0-0	Chuncheon FC
20/07/24 South Korea K3 League	Yeoju	1-0 HT 1-0	Chuncheon FC
06/04/24 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Yeoju

Standings · South Korea K3 League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	21	15	4	2	32	18	49
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	21	12	6	3	36	19	42
3	Daejeon Korail	21	11	5	5	31	16	38
4	Busan Trans Corp	21	10	7	4	36	21	37
5	Dangjin Citizen FC	21	8	4	9	39	33	28
6	Gangneung City	21	7	6	8	20	29	27
7	Chuncheon FC	21	7	5	9	37	34	26
8	Gyeongju HNP	20	6	8	6	29	28	26
9	Changwon City	20	6	8	6	22	22	26
10	Ulsan Citizen FC	21	7	4	10	22	24	25
11	Yeoju	21	6	7	8	23	26	25
12	Mokpo City	21	3	9	9	16	34	18
13	Yangpyeong FC	21	3	8	10	27	41	17
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	21	1	7	13	21	46	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chuncheon FC	Yeoju
Mokpo City	1-0 W	0-1 L
Dangjin Citizen FC	4-3 W	2-1 W
Gangneung City	0-1 L	1-1 D
Ulsan Citizen FC	2-1 W	0-1 L
Changwon City	1-1 D	2-2 D
Yangpyeong FC	3-3 D	2-1 W
Siheung City AC	2-3 L	0-1 L
Daejeon Korail	3-3 D	1-0 W
Gyeongju HNP	2-2 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Yeoju (3 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chuncheon FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
29/08	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	4-3	5	1	W
23/08	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
26/07	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
12/07	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
27/06	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	3-3	2	6	D
20/06	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	2-2	2-3	2	2	L
06/06	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	2-2	3-3	1	6	D
30/05	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-2	3	2	D
23/05	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	1-2	3-2	7	2	W

Yeoju

DWLWDLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
30/08	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
22/08	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
25/07	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
10/07	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
27/06	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-2	3	1	D
20/06	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-1	2	9	W
07/06	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
31/05	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
23/05	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chuncheon FC vs Yeoju?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chuncheon FC win (42%). Probabilities: Chuncheon FC 42%, draw 28%, Yeoju 30%.

How many goals are expected in Chuncheon FC vs Yeoju?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Chuncheon FC 1.42 · Yeoju 1.15), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chuncheon FC vs Yeoju?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.