Football · China Super League · 08/11, 08:30
Prediction: Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao West Coast
Team pages: Shanghai Shenhua · Qingdao West Coast
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Shanghai Shenhua2.16
Qingdao West Coast1.11
1X2
Shanghai Shenhua
Draw
Qingdao West Coast
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Shanghai Shenhua
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Qingdao West Coast
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shanghai Shenhua
4–1–0
Qingdao West Coast
(5 last)
- Qingdao West Coast2-2Shanghai Shenhua
- Qingdao West Coast1-2Shanghai Shenhua
- Shanghai Shenhua4-0Qingdao West Coast
- Qingdao West Coast0-1Shanghai Shenhua
- Shanghai Shenhua2-0Qingdao West Coast
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shanghai Shenhua 1520 · Qingdao West Coast 1505
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Qingdao West Coast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Market | 62% | 19% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shanghai Shenhua: 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Shenhua | Qingdao West Coast | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.2 | 2.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Shenhua 4–1–0 Qingdao West Coast
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 China Super League | Qingdao West Coast | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 17/10/25 China Super League | Qingdao West Coast | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 10/05/25 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Qingdao West Coast |
| 30/06/24 China Super League | Qingdao West Coast | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 08/03/24 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Qingdao West Coast |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 35 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 43 | 49 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 57 | 36 | 47 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 47 | 44 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 36 | 42 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 60 | 40 |
| 7 | Qingdao West Coast | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 32 | 38 | 39 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 63 | 50 | 37 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 34 | 36 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51 | 54 | 34 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 51 | 32 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 35 | 31 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 41 | 52 | 29 |
| 14 | Henan | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | 28 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 44 | 55 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 34 | 62 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Shenhua | Qingdao West Coast |
|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Three Towns | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Yunnan Yukun | 7-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Shandong Taishan | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Beijing Guoan | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Henan | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Liaoning Ironman | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 4 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Shenhua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
2-1 | 7-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 28/08 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
1-2 | 5-4 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Henan China Super League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Qingdao West Coast
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/10 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Henan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao West Coast?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Shenhua win (61%). Probabilities: Shanghai Shenhua 61%, draw 20%, Qingdao West Coast 19%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Shanghai Shenhua 2.16 · Qingdao West Coast 1.11), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.