Prediction: Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
Team pages: Beijing Guoan · Chongqing Tonglianglong
- Chongqing Tonglianglong2-3Beijing Guoan
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Chongqing Tonglianglong | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | 72% | 18% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beijing Guoan (rating 1626 vs 1431).
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Beijing Guoan | Chongqing Tonglianglong | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.9 | 1.9 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Guoan 1–0–0 Chongqing Tonglianglong
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 China Super League | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Beijing Guoan |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 35 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 43 | 49 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 57 | 36 | 47 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 47 | 44 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 36 | 42 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 60 | 40 |
| 7 | Qingdao West Coast | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 32 | 38 | 39 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 63 | 50 | 37 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 34 | 36 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51 | 54 | 34 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 51 | 32 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 35 | 31 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 41 | 52 | 29 |
| 14 | Henan | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | 28 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 44 | 55 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 34 | 62 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Beijing Guoan | Chongqing Tonglianglong |
|---|---|---|
| Henan | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Qingdao West Coast | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Shanghai Port | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Dalian Young Boy | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Yunnan Yukun | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Beijing Guoan (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Henan China Super League |
0-3 | 4-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/10 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 28/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 18/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Chongqing Tonglianglong
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Beijing Guoan win (72%). Probabilities: Beijing Guoan 72%, draw 18%, Chongqing Tonglianglong 10%.
How many goals are expected in Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Beijing Guoan 2.35 · Chongqing Tonglianglong 0.79), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.