Football · China Super League · 08/11, 08:30

Prediction: Dalian Young Boy vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Team pages: Dalian Young Boy · Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Dalian Young Boy1.81

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers0.68

1X2

64% 23% 13%

Dalian Young Boy Draw Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Dalian Young Boy 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWLDWDWWWW

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWWWWL

Head-to-head

Dalian Young Boy 0–1–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers (3 last)

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1-0Dalian Young Boy
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers2-0Dalian Young Boy
Dalian Young Boy1-1Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalian Young Boy 1550 · Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 1540

	Dalian Young Boy	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Our model	63%	24%	12%
Market	64%	23%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tianjin Jinmen Tigers: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dalian Young Boy	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.6	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.10

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.77

2 (+1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.84 ★
2	7.00 → 7.00	Pinn 7.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +7’	1.44	4.10	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:18 +1’	1.40	4.77	7.32
02:02 +9’	1.39▼	4.84▲	7.53▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian Young Boy 0–1–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 China Super League	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	1-0 HT 1-0	Dalian Young Boy
16/08/25 China Super League	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	2-0 HT 1-0	Dalian Young Boy
12/04/25 China Super League	Dalian Young Boy	1-1 HT 0-1	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Standings · China Super League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	29	15	7	7	51	35	52
2	Dalian Young Boy	29	15	4	10	46	43	49
3	Beijing Guoan	29	14	10	5	57	36	47
4	Shandong Taishan	29	15	5	9	57	47	44
5	Shanghai Port	29	13	8	8	50	36	42
6	Yunnan Yukun	29	11	7	11	57	60	40
7	Qingdao West Coast	29	8	15	6	32	38	39
8	Shanghai Shenhua	29	14	5	10	63	50	37
9	Chongqing Tonglianglong	29	8	12	9	31	34	36
10	Zhejiang	29	11	6	12	51	54	34
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	29	9	5	15	39	51	32
12	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	29	11	8	10	39	35	31
13	Liaoning Ironman	29	8	5	16	41	52	29
14	Henan	29	8	10	11	38	42	28
15	Wuhan Three Towns	29	5	12	12	44	55	22
16	Qingdao Hainiu	29	6	3	20	34	62	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dalian Young Boy	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Chengdu Rongcheng	1-0 W	1-0 W
Qingdao West Coast	4-0 W	1-1 D
Beijing Guoan	1-1 D	2-4 L
Shanghai Port	1-1 D	1-3 L
Yunnan Yukun	1-3 L	3-2 W
Liaoning Ironman	1-0 W	1-0 W
Henan	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dalian Young Boy (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dalian Young Boy

DWLDWDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
17/10	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League	2-0	3-1	10	0	W
11/10	Qingdao West Coast China Super League	1-0	4-0	3	5	W
05/09	Qingdao Hainiu China Super League	2-1	2-1	5	2	W
28/08	Beijing Guoan China Super League	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
23/08	Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
19/08	Shanghai Port China Super League	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
15/08	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	1-0	1-3	3	4	L
08/08	Liaoning Ironman China Super League	1-0	1-0	6	3	W
31/07	Henan China Super League	0-1	1-1	5	6	D

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

WLLDDWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Shanghai Port China Super League	0-1	1-3	3	7	L
16/10	Henan China Super League	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
10/10	Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
12/09	Liaoning Ironman China Super League	1-0	1-0	3	0	W
06/09	Zhejiang China Super League	1-1	2-1	10	7	W
29/08	Qingdao West Coast China Super League	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
22/08	Wuhan Three Towns China Super League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
15/08	Beijing Guoan China Super League	0-2	2-4	10	1	L
09/08	Shandong Taishan China Super League	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
01/08	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	0-1	3-2	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalian Young Boy vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian Young Boy win (64%). Probabilities: Dalian Young Boy 64%, draw 23%, Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 13%.

How many goals are expected in Dalian Young Boy vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Dalian Young Boy 1.81 · Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 0.68), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dalian Young Boy vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.