Football · China Super League · 08/11, 08:30
Prediction: Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng
Team pages: Shandong Taishan · Chengdu Rongcheng
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Shandong Taishan1.66
Chengdu Rongcheng1.72
1X2
Shandong Taishan
Draw
Chengdu Rongcheng
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Shandong Taishan
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Chengdu Rongcheng
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shandong Taishan
2–4
Chengdu Rongcheng
(6 last)
- Chengdu Rongcheng1-0Shandong Taishan
- Chengdu Rongcheng2-1Shandong Taishan
- Shandong Taishan1-3Chengdu Rongcheng
- Shandong Taishan0-3Chengdu Rongcheng
- Shandong Taishan1-0Chengdu Rongcheng
- Shandong Taishan3-0Chengdu Rongcheng
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shandong Taishan 1528 · Chengdu Rongcheng 1470
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 25% | 39% |
| Market | 37% | 24% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shandong Taishan (rating 1528 vs 1470).
- H2H favours Chengdu Rongcheng: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shandong Taishan | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.4 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shandong Taishan 2–0–4 Chengdu Rongcheng
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shandong Taishan |
| 02/08/25 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Shandong Taishan |
| 20/06/25 China FA Cup | Shandong Taishan | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 02/04/25 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 24/09/24 China FA Cup | Shandong Taishan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 17/08/24 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 35 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 43 | 49 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 57 | 36 | 47 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 47 | 44 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 36 | 42 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 60 | 40 |
| 7 | Qingdao West Coast | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 32 | 38 | 39 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 63 | 50 | 37 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 34 | 36 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51 | 54 | 34 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 51 | 32 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 35 | 31 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 41 | 52 | 29 |
| 14 | Henan | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | 28 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 44 | 55 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 34 | 62 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shandong Taishan | Chengdu Rongcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Three Towns | 5-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Zhejiang | 5-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 3-2 W | 4-5 L |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Shanghai Port | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Henan | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Shandong Taishan (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shandong Taishan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
3-1 | 5-3 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | Zhejiang China Super League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Chengdu Rongcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Henan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 29/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chengdu Rongcheng win (39%). Probabilities: Shandong Taishan 37%, draw 24%, Chengdu Rongcheng 39%.
How many goals are expected in Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Shandong Taishan 1.66 · Chengdu Rongcheng 1.72), with a 60% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.