Prediction: Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns
Team pages: Yunnan Yukun · Wuhan Three Towns
- Wuhan Three Towns1-1Yunnan Yukun
- Yunnan Yukun2-1Wuhan Three Towns
- Wuhan Three Towns3-1Yunnan Yukun
| Yunnan Yukun | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 20% | 24% |
| Market | 55% | 21% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yunnan Yukun (rating 1525 vs 1460).
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yunnan Yukun | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.5 | 1.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yunnan Yukun 1–1–1 Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Yunnan Yukun |
| 15/08/25 China Super League | Yunnan Yukun | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 12/04/25 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Yunnan Yukun |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 35 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 43 | 49 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 57 | 36 | 47 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 47 | 44 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 36 | 42 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 60 | 40 |
| 7 | Qingdao West Coast | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 32 | 38 | 39 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 63 | 50 | 37 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 34 | 36 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51 | 54 | 34 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 51 | 32 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 35 | 31 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 41 | 52 | 29 |
| 14 | Henan | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | 28 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 44 | 55 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 34 | 62 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yunnan Yukun | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|
| Qingdao West Coast | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1-7 L | 1-3 L |
| Liaoning Ironman | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Zhejiang | 0-6 L | 1-4 L |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Wuhan Three Towns (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yunnan Yukun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 10/10 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 1-7 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-5 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 4 | W |
Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 18/09 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Henan China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 14/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yunnan Yukun win (56%). Probabilities: Yunnan Yukun 56%, draw 21%, Wuhan Three Towns 24%.
How many goals are expected in Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model expects 4.24 goals (Yunnan Yukun 2.55 · Wuhan Three Towns 1.69), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.