Football · China Super League · 08/11, 08:30
Prediction: Zhejiang vs Henan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.97Total
Zhejiang2.17
Henan1.8
1X2
Zhejiang
Draw
Henan
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Zhejiang
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Henan
0-7-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zhejiang
2–2–2
Henan
(6 last)
- Henan0-2Zhejiang
- Henan2-2Zhejiang
- Henan3-2Zhejiang
- Zhejiang2-2Henan
- Henan2-1Zhejiang
- Zhejiang4-1Henan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhejiang 1507 · Henan 1461
| Zhejiang | Draw | Henan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 22% | 32% |
| Market | 46% | 22% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.97 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhejiang (rating 1507 vs 1461).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zhejiang | Henan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 2.2 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 3.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhejiang 2–2–2 Henan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 China Super League | Henan | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Zhejiang |
| 25/10/25 China Super League | Henan | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Zhejiang |
| 22/06/25 China FA Cup | Henan | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Zhejiang |
| 16/05/25 China Super League | Zhejiang | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Henan |
| 21/07/24 China Super League | Henan | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Zhejiang |
| 30/04/24 China Super League | Zhejiang | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Henan |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 35 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 43 | 49 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 57 | 36 | 47 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 47 | 44 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 36 | 42 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 60 | 40 |
| 7 | Qingdao West Coast | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 32 | 38 | 39 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 63 | 50 | 37 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 34 | 36 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51 | 54 | 34 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 51 | 32 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 35 | 31 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 41 | 52 | 29 |
| 14 | Henan | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | 28 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 44 | 55 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 34 | 62 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zhejiang | Henan |
|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Ironman | 4-2 W | 4-4 D |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Beijing Guoan | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Dalian Young Boy | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 5 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Zhejiang (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhejiang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/09 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
5-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
Henan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
3-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | D |
| 29/08 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhejiang vs Henan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zhejiang win (46%). Probabilities: Zhejiang 46%, draw 22%, Henan 32%.
How many goals are expected in Zhejiang vs Henan?
The model expects 3.97 goals (Zhejiang 2.17 · Henan 1.8), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Zhejiang vs Henan?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.