Prediction: Rio Negro RR (W) vs Itabirito (W)
| Rio Negro RR (W) | Draw | Itabirito (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 21% | 69% |
| Market | 11% | 18% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Itabirito (W) (rating 1479 vs 1578).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rio Negro RR (W) | Itabirito (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.2 | 1.7 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.7 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.1 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0 |
Standings · Brazil Serie A2 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vasco da Gama (W) | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 43 | 8 | 34 |
| 2 | Itabirito (W) | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 31 |
| 3 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Sociedade Acao (W) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Sport Recife (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | 3B Sport AM (W) | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | Perolas Negras (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 16 |
| 9 | Taubate (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Rio Negro RR (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | Ceara (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | Doce Mel EC (W) | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 13 |
| 13 | Vila Nova GO (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 10 |
| 14 | Paysandu (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 10 |
| 15 | Itacoatiara (W) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 29 | 4 |
| 16 | UD Alagoana (W) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rio Negro RR (W) | Itabirito (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Minas Brasilia DF (W) | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Ceara (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Sociedade Acao (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 1-8 L | 2-1 W |
| UD Alagoana (W) | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Itabirito (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rio Negro RR (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Perolas Negras (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 20/05 | Ceara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Vasco da Gama (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Coritiba (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Taubate (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Sociedade Acao (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/04 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-3 | 1-8 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Itacoatiara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | UD Alagoana (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
Itabirito (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Bahia (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | Sport Recife (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Sociedade Acao (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | UD Alagoana (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Sport Recife (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Ceara (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Doce Mel EC (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | Realidade Jovem (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rio Negro RR (W) vs Itabirito (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Itabirito (W) win (70%). Probabilities: Rio Negro RR (W) 11%, draw 19%, Itabirito (W) 70%.
How many goals are expected in Rio Negro RR (W) vs Itabirito (W)?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Rio Negro RR (W) 0.66 · Itabirito (W) 2.06), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rio Negro RR (W) vs Itabirito (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.