Football · Brazil Serie A2 Women · 01/08, 20:00
Prediction: Vasco da Gama (W) vs Minas Brasilia DF (W)
Team pages: Vasco da Gama (W) · Minas Brasilia DF (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Vasco da Gama (W)1.88
Minas Brasilia DF (W)1.14
1X2
Vasco da Gama (W)
Draw
Minas Brasilia DF (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vasco da Gama (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Minas Brasilia DF (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vasco da Gama (W)
1–1
Minas Brasilia DF (W)
(2 last)
- Vasco da Gama (W)2-1Minas Brasilia DF (W)
- Minas Brasilia DF (W)2-0Vasco da Gama (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vasco da Gama (W) 1593 · Minas Brasilia DF (W) 1572
| Vasco da Gama (W) | Draw | Minas Brasilia DF (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vasco da Gama (W) | Minas Brasilia DF (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 0.8 | 2.3 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/11/22% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 7 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasco da Gama (W) 1–0–1 Minas Brasilia DF (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/25 Copa do Brazil Women | Vasco da Gama (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) |
| 27/04/25 Brazil Serie A2 Women | Minas Brasilia DF (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Vasco da Gama (W) |
Standings · Brazil Serie A2 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vasco da Gama (W) | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 46 | 8 | 37 |
| 2 | Itabirito (W) | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 12 | 27 |
| 5 | Sociedade Acao (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | 3B Sport AM (W) | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Sport Recife (W) | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Perolas Negras (W) | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 17 |
| 9 | Taubate (W) | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 15 |
| 10 | Rio Negro RR (W) | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 14 |
| 11 | Ceara (W) | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 13 |
| 12 | Paysandu (W) | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 13 |
| 13 | Doce Mel EC (W) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 13 |
| 14 | Vila Nova GO (W) | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 10 |
| 15 | UD Alagoana (W) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 29 | 7 |
| 16 | Itacoatiara (W) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vasco da Gama (W) | Minas Brasilia DF (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova GO (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Ceara (W) | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Rio Negro RR (W) | 4-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Itacoatiara (W) | 8-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vasco da Gama (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Vila Nova GO (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/07 | Sao Paulo (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Ceara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 28/05 | America MG (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Doce Mel EC (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | 3B Sport AM (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Rio Negro RR (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Araguari (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Itacoatiara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
4-0 | 8-0 | 14 | 4 | W |
Minas Brasilia DF (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Ceara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Rio Negro RR (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/05 | Fluminense RJ (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Taubate (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 19/05 | Perolas Negras (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Paysandu (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Vila Nova GO (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Itacoatiara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Itabirito (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | UD Alagoana (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vasco da Gama (W) vs Minas Brasilia DF (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vasco da Gama (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Vasco da Gama (W) 54%, draw 25%, Minas Brasilia DF (W) 22%.
How many goals are expected in Vasco da Gama (W) vs Minas Brasilia DF (W)?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Vasco da Gama (W) 1.88 · Minas Brasilia DF (W) 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Vasco da Gama (W) vs Minas Brasilia DF (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.