Football · Brazil Serie A2 Women · 01/08, 20:30

Prediction: Paysandu (W) vs Sociedade Acao (W)

Team pages: Paysandu (W) · Sociedade Acao (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Paysandu (W)1.11

Sociedade Acao (W)1.4

1X2

29% 28% 43%

Paysandu (W) Draw Sociedade Acao (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Paysandu (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLWWLW

Sociedade Acao (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWLLWD

Head-to-head

Paysandu (W) 0–1 Sociedade Acao (W) (1 last)

Sociedade Acao (W)5-0Paysandu (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paysandu (W) 1481 · Sociedade Acao (W) 1543

	Paysandu (W)	Draw	Sociedade Acao (W)
Our model	28%	29%	42%
Market	29%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sociedade Acao (W) (rating 1481 vs 1543).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paysandu (W)	Sociedade Acao (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.2	1.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.9	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.25

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
22:21 +5’	3.10	3.25	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Paysandu (W) 0–0–1 Sociedade Acao (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/25 Brazil Serie A2 Women	Sociedade Acao (W)	5-0 HT 3-0	Paysandu (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A2 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vasco da Gama (W)	13	12	1	0	46	8	37
2	Itabirito (W)	13	11	1	1	25	6	34
3	Minas Brasilia DF (W)	13	10	2	1	32	6	32
4	Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)	13	9	0	4	30	12	27
5	Sociedade Acao (W)	13	6	3	4	15	13	21
6	3B Sport AM (W)	13	5	5	3	16	10	20
7	Sport Recife (W)	13	5	3	5	13	14	18
8	Perolas Negras (W)	13	4	5	4	16	18	17
9	Taubate (W)	13	4	3	6	19	17	15
10	Rio Negro RR (W)	13	4	2	7	12	24	14
11	Ceara (W)	13	4	1	8	12	22	13
12	Paysandu (W)	13	4	1	8	11	25	13
13	Doce Mel EC (W)	13	3	4	6	10	20	13
14	Vila Nova GO (W)	13	3	1	9	12	30	10
15	UD Alagoana (W)	13	2	1	10	9	29	7
16	Itacoatiara (W)	13	1	1	11	9	33	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paysandu (W)	Sociedade Acao (W)
Sport Recife (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
UD Alagoana (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Taubate (W)	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sociedade Acao (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Paysandu (W)

LLWDLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
01/06	Sport Recife (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
27/05	Remo (W) Brazil Copa Paraense Women	1-0	3-1	8	4	W
24/05	UD Alagoana (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
20/05	Doce Mel EC (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
16/05	Minas Brasilia DF (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	0-0	0-5	1	2	L
14/05	Planalto EC (W) Copa do Brazil Women	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
09/05	Vila Nova GO (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
02/05	Taubate (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
25/04	Vasco da Gama (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	0-2	0-5	4	1	L

Sociedade Acao (W)

WWWWDWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Perolas Negras (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	0-0	0-0	9	7	D
01/06	UD Alagoana (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
27/05	3B Sport AM (W) Copa do Brazil Women	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
24/05	Itabirito (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
21/05	Sport Recife (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
17/05	Taubate (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
14/05	Mixto EC (W) Copa do Brazil Women	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
09/05	Ceara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
02/05	Rio Negro RR (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
25/04	Itacoatiara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paysandu (W) vs Sociedade Acao (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sociedade Acao (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Paysandu (W) 29%, draw 28%, Sociedade Acao (W) 43%.

How many goals are expected in Paysandu (W) vs Sociedade Acao (W)?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Paysandu (W) 1.11 · Sociedade Acao (W) 1.4), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Paysandu (W) vs Sociedade Acao (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.