Football · Brazil Serie A2 Women · 01/08, 20:30

Prediction: Vila Nova GO (W) vs Ceara (W)

Team pages: Vila Nova GO (W) · Ceara (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Vila Nova GO (W)1.43
Ceara (W)1.38
1X2
38% 27% 35%
Vila Nova GO (W) Draw Ceara (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vila Nova GO (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
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Ceara (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vila Nova GO (W) 1416 · Ceara (W) 1470
Vila Nova GO (W)DrawCeara (W)
Our model37%28%35%
Market38%27%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ceara (W) (rating 1416 vs 1470).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Vila Nova GO (W)Ceara (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 2.51 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.70.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/20/70%11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.71.9 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.13 / 0.5

Standings · Brazil Serie A2 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vasco da Gama (W) 131210 46837
2 Itabirito (W) 131111 25634
3 Minas Brasilia DF (W) 131021 32632
4 Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) 13904 301227
5 Sociedade Acao (W) 13634 151321
6 3B Sport AM (W) 13553 161020
7 Sport Recife (W) 13535 131418
8 Perolas Negras (W) 13454 161817
9 Taubate (W) 13436 191715
10 Rio Negro RR (W) 13427 122414
11 Ceara (W) 13418 122213
12 Paysandu (W) 13418 112513
13 Doce Mel EC (W) 13346 102013
14 Vila Nova GO (W) 13319 123010
15 UD Alagoana (W) 132110 9297
16 Itacoatiara (W) 131111 9334

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVila Nova GO (W)Ceara (W)
Vasco da Gama (W) 0-3 L 0-2 L
3B Sport AM (W) 0-3 L 2-1 W
Itacoatiara (W) 1-2 L 2-1 W
Minas Brasilia DF (W) 0-1 L 0-4 L
Doce Mel EC (W) 1-1 D 0-0 D
Itabirito (W) 1-5 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 5 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ceara (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vila Nova GO (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Vasco da Gama (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-2 0-3 11 L
30/05 Taubate (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
2-1 3-2 22 W
23/05 3B Sport AM (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-3 0-3 26 L
20/05 Itacoatiara (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-1 1-2 L
16/05 Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-1 0-2 L
14/05 Minas Brasilia DF (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-1 0-1 15 L
09/05 Paysandu (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-1 1-3 L
02/05 Doce Mel EC (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-1 1-1 66 D
26/04 Sport Recife (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-3 0-3 75 L
19/04 Itabirito (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-3 1-5 73 L

Ceara (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Minas Brasilia DF (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-1 0-4 21 L
12/07 3B Sport AM (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-1 2-1 22 W
31/05 Vasco da Gama (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-2 0-2 35 L
23/05 Itacoatiara (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
2-1 W
20/05 Rio Negro RR (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-1 1-2 15 L
13/05 Itabirito (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 0-2 32 L
09/05 Sociedade Acao (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-1 1-3 L
03/05 UD Alagoana (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-0 3-1 81 W
26/04 Doce Mel EC (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 0-0 03 D
18/04 Perolas Negras (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-1 1-3 69 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vila Nova GO (W) vs Ceara (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vila Nova GO (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Vila Nova GO (W) 38%, draw 27%, Ceara (W) 35%.

How many goals are expected in Vila Nova GO (W) vs Ceara (W)?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Vila Nova GO (W) 1.43 · Ceara (W) 1.38), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vila Nova GO (W) vs Ceara (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.