Football · Brazil Serie A2 Women · 25/07, 20:00
Prediction: Taubate (W) vs Sport Recife (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Taubate (W)1.21
Sport Recife (W)1.11
1X2
Taubate (W)
Draw
Sport Recife (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Taubate (W)
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Sport Recife (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taubate (W) 1455 · Sport Recife (W) 1485
| Taubate (W) | Draw | Sport Recife (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Taubate (W) | Sport Recife (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.3 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Standings · Brazil Serie A2 Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vasco da Gama (W) | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 43 | 8 | 34 |
| 2 | Itabirito (W) | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 31 |
| 3 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Sociedade Acao (W) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Sport Recife (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | 3B Sport AM (W) | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | Perolas Negras (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 16 |
| 9 | Taubate (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Rio Negro RR (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | Ceara (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | Doce Mel EC (W) | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 13 |
| 13 | Vila Nova GO (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 10 |
| 14 | Paysandu (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 10 |
| 15 | Itacoatiara (W) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 29 | 4 |
| 16 | UD Alagoana (W) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Taubate (W) | Sport Recife (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova GO (W) | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Sociedade Acao (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| 3B Sport AM (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taubate (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Santos (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Mirassol (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Vila Nova GO (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/05 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Sociedade Acao (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | 3B Sport AM (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Rio Negro RR (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Bragantino (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
Sport Recife (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Paysandu (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 28/05 | Itabirito (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Sociedade Acao (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Itabirito (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Criciuma (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | 3B Sport AM (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/05 | Perolas Negras (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 26/04 | Vila Nova GO (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Vasco da Gama (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taubate (W) vs Sport Recife (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Taubate (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Taubate (W) 38%, draw 30%, Sport Recife (W) 33%.
How many goals are expected in Taubate (W) vs Sport Recife (W)?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Taubate (W) 1.21 · Sport Recife (W) 1.11), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Taubate (W) vs Sport Recife (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.