Prediction: Vasco da Gama (W) vs Vila Nova GO (W)
| Vasco da Gama (W) | Draw | Vila Nova GO (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 91% | 6% | 3% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vasco da Gama (W) (rating 1596 vs 1414).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vasco da Gama (W) | Vila Nova GO (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.6 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/11/22% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 6.8 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Standings · Brazil Serie A2 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vasco da Gama (W) | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 43 | 8 | 34 |
| 2 | Itabirito (W) | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 31 |
| 3 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Sociedade Acao (W) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Sport Recife (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | 3B Sport AM (W) | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | Perolas Negras (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 16 |
| 9 | Taubate (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Rio Negro RR (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | Ceara (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | Doce Mel EC (W) | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 13 |
| 13 | Vila Nova GO (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 10 |
| 14 | Paysandu (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 10 |
| 15 | Itacoatiara (W) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 29 | 4 |
| 16 | UD Alagoana (W) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vasco da Gama (W) | Vila Nova GO (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Doce Mel EC (W) | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| 3B Sport AM (W) | 3-3 D | 0-3 L |
| Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Itacoatiara (W) | 8-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Paysandu (W) | 5-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Vasco da Gama (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vasco da Gama (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Sao Paulo (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Ceara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 28/05 | America MG (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Doce Mel EC (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | 3B Sport AM (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Rio Negro RR (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Araguari (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Itacoatiara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
4-0 | 8-0 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Paysandu (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Vila Nova GO (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Taubate (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | 3B Sport AM (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | Itacoatiara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Paysandu (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Doce Mel EC (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Sport Recife (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Itabirito (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-3 | 1-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Sociedade Acao (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vasco da Gama (W) vs Vila Nova GO (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vasco da Gama (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Vasco da Gama (W) 84%, draw 10%, Vila Nova GO (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Vasco da Gama (W) vs Vila Nova GO (W)?
The model expects 4.36 goals (Vasco da Gama (W) 3.18 · Vila Nova GO (W) 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Vasco da Gama (W) vs Vila Nova GO (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.