Football · Brazil Serie A2 Women · 25/07, 20:30

Prediction: Paysandu (W) vs Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Paysandu (W)0.74
Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)2.39
1X2
9% 18% 73%
Paysandu (W) Draw Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Paysandu (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLLWDLLWWL
Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLLDWWWDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paysandu (W) 1455 · Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) 1529
Paysandu (W)DrawClube Atletico Piauiense (W)
Our model9%18%73%
Market9%18%73%
Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) (rating 1455 vs 1529).
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Paysandu (W)Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.41.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 4.43.2 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 04.5 / 0.2

Standings · Brazil Serie A2 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vasco da Gama (W) 121110 43834
2 Itabirito (W) 121011 23631
3 Minas Brasilia DF (W) 12921 28629
4 Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) 12903 291027
5 Sociedade Acao (W) 12624 151320
6 Sport Recife (W) 12525 131417
7 3B Sport AM (W) 12453 121017
8 Perolas Negras (W) 12444 161816
9 Taubate (W) 12426 191714
10 Rio Negro RR (W) 12426 122214
11 Ceara (W) 12417 121813
12 Doce Mel EC (W) 12345 91813
13 Vila Nova GO (W) 12318 122710
14 Paysandu (W) 12318 92410
15 Itacoatiara (W) 121110 9294
16 UD Alagoana (W) 121110 7284

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPaysandu (W)Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)
Sport Recife (W) 0-1 L 3-0 W
Vila Nova GO (W) 3-1 W 2-0 W
Taubate (W) 2-3 L 2-1 W
Vasco da Gama (W) 0-5 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paysandu (W)

LLLWDLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/06 Sport Recife (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 0-1 30 L
27/05 Remo (W)
Brazil Copa Paraense Women
1-0 3-1 84 W
24/05 UD Alagoana (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-0 2-1 53 W
20/05 Doce Mel EC (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-3 1-3 L
16/05 Minas Brasilia DF (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 0-5 12 L
14/05 Planalto EC (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 1-1 46 D
09/05 Vila Nova GO (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-0 3-1 W
02/05 Taubate (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-2 2-3 L
25/04 Vasco da Gama (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-2 0-5 41 L
22/04 Remo (W)
Brazil Copa Paraense Women
1-1 2-3 64 L

Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)

WLLDWWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/07 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-1 1-2 45 L
31/05 Itabirito (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-1 1-2 54 L
28/05 Santos (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 1-1 66 D
24/05 Sport Recife (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
2-0 3-0 W
20/05 Taubate (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
2-0 2-1 W
16/05 Vila Nova GO (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-0 2-0 W
13/05 Uniao RN (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 0-0 43 D
09/05 Vasco da Gama (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-3 L
02/05 3B Sport AM (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 0-1 88 L
27/04 Rio Negro RR (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
3-0 8-1 122 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paysandu (W) vs Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Paysandu (W) 9%, draw 18%, Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) 73%.

How many goals are expected in Paysandu (W) vs Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Paysandu (W) 0.74 · Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) 2.39), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Paysandu (W) vs Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.