Football · Brazil Serie A2 Women · 01/08, 20:00

Prediction: Sport Recife (W) vs Rio Negro RR (W)

Team pages: Sport Recife (W) · Rio Negro RR (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Sport Recife (W)2.07
Rio Negro RR (W)0.69
1X2
69% 19% 11%
Sport Recife (W) Draw Rio Negro RR (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sport Recife (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDDWLLLLWD
Rio Negro RR (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLWLLWDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sport Recife (W) 1492 · Rio Negro RR (W) 1465
Sport Recife (W)DrawRio Negro RR (W)
Our model68%21%10%
Market70%18%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sport Recife (W)Rio Negro RR (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.91.1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.30.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.81.8 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.14 / 0.3

Standings · Brazil Serie A2 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vasco da Gama (W) 131210 46837
2 Itabirito (W) 131111 25634
3 Minas Brasilia DF (W) 131021 32632
4 Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) 13904 301227
5 Sociedade Acao (W) 13634 151321
6 3B Sport AM (W) 13553 161020
7 Sport Recife (W) 13535 131418
8 Perolas Negras (W) 13454 161817
9 Taubate (W) 13436 191715
10 Rio Negro RR (W) 13427 122414
11 Ceara (W) 13418 122213
12 Paysandu (W) 13418 112513
13 Doce Mel EC (W) 13346 102013
14 Vila Nova GO (W) 13319 123010
15 UD Alagoana (W) 132110 9297
16 Itacoatiara (W) 131111 9334

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSport Recife (W)Rio Negro RR (W)
Taubate (W) 0-0 D 2-0 W
Itabirito (W) 1-2 L 0-2 L
Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) 0-3 L 1-8 L
Sociedade Acao (W) 0-1 L 1-2 L
Perolas Negras (W) 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sport Recife (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sport Recife (W)

WDDWLLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Taubate (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 0-0 53 D
01/06 Paysandu (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 1-0 80 W
28/05 Itabirito (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 1-2 33 L
24/05 Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-2 0-3 L
21/05 Sociedade Acao (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 0-1 66 L
16/05 Itabirito (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 0-1 34 L
14/05 Criciuma (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
2-0 3-0 35 W
09/05 3B Sport AM (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-0 1-1 D
04/05 Perolas Negras (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-1 1-1 88 D
26/04 Vila Nova GO (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
3-0 3-0 25 W

Rio Negro RR (W)

WLLWLLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Itabirito (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 0-2 56 L
31/05 Minas Brasilia DF (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-1 0-3 13 L
23/05 Perolas Negras (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-1 1-1 51 D
20/05 Ceara (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-0 2-1 65 W
16/05 Vasco da Gama (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-3 2-4 24 L
13/05 Coritiba (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-1 1-3 07 L
09/05 Taubate (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-0 2-0 55 W
02/05 Sociedade Acao (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-1 1-2 L
27/04 Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-3 1-8 22 L
18/04 Itacoatiara (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-0 1-0 36 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sport Recife (W) vs Rio Negro RR (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Recife (W) win (69%). Probabilities: Sport Recife (W) 69%, draw 19%, Rio Negro RR (W) 11%.

How many goals are expected in Sport Recife (W) vs Rio Negro RR (W)?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Sport Recife (W) 2.07 · Rio Negro RR (W) 0.69), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sport Recife (W) vs Rio Negro RR (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.