Prediction: Itabirito (W) vs Itacoatiara (W)
Team pages: Itabirito (W) · Itacoatiara (W)
| Itabirito (W) | Draw | Itacoatiara (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 93% | 6% | 1% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Itabirito (W) (rating 1608 vs 1402).
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Itabirito (W) | Itacoatiara (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0 | 0.1 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 0/11/89% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.2 | 1.8 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Standings · Brazil Serie A2 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vasco da Gama (W) | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 46 | 8 | 37 |
| 2 | Itabirito (W) | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 12 | 27 |
| 5 | Sociedade Acao (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | 3B Sport AM (W) | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Sport Recife (W) | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Perolas Negras (W) | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 17 |
| 9 | Taubate (W) | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 15 |
| 10 | Rio Negro RR (W) | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 14 |
| 11 | Ceara (W) | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 13 |
| 12 | Paysandu (W) | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 13 |
| 13 | Doce Mel EC (W) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 13 |
| 14 | Vila Nova GO (W) | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 10 |
| 15 | UD Alagoana (W) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 29 | 7 |
| 16 | Itacoatiara (W) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Itabirito (W) | Itacoatiara (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sociedade Acao (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| UD Alagoana (W) | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Ceara (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Minas Brasilia DF (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Itabirito (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Itabirito (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Rio Negro RR (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 22/07 | Bahia (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | Sport Recife (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Sociedade Acao (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | UD Alagoana (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Sport Recife (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Ceara (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Doce Mel EC (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
Itacoatiara (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | 3B Sport AM (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Perolas Negras (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/05 | Mauaense (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Ceara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Vila Nova GO (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | UD Alagoana (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Mauaense (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Vasco da Gama (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-4 | 0-8 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Sociedade Acao (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Itabirito (W) vs Itacoatiara (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Itabirito (W) win (86%). Probabilities: Itabirito (W) 86%, draw 10%, Itacoatiara (W) 4%.
How many goals are expected in Itabirito (W) vs Itacoatiara (W)?
The model expects 3.75 goals (Itabirito (W) 2.87 · Itacoatiara (W) 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Itabirito (W) vs Itacoatiara (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.