Football · Brazil Serie B · 27/09, 23:30
Prediction: Fortaleza vs Athletic Club MG
Team pages: Fortaleza · Athletic Club MG
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Fortaleza1.39
Athletic Club MG0.91
1X2
Fortaleza
Draw
Athletic Club MG
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Fortaleza
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Athletic Club MG
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fortaleza
0–1
Athletic Club MG
(1 last)
- Athletic Club MG1-0Fortaleza
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortaleza | Athletic Club MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.3 | 1.2 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza 0–0–1 Athletic Club MG
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Brazil Serie B | Athletic Club MG | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fortaleza |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 51 |
| 2 | Gremio Novorizontino | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 50 |
| 3 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 50 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 48 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 47 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 46 |
| 7 | CRB | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 45 |
| 8 | Operario PR | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 44 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo SP | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 31 | 41 |
| 11 | Athletic Club MG | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 41 |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 40 |
| 13 | Goias | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | Nautico | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 33 | 38 |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 37 | 35 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29 | 36 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 39 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 62 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortaleza | Athletic Club MG |
|---|---|---|
| Criciuma | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| EC Juventude | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Cuiaba | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Botafogo SP | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Vila Nova | 1-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortaleza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/09 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 01/09 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/08 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 15/08 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/07 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Athletic Club MG
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/09 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/07 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortaleza vs Athletic Club MG?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fortaleza win (47%). Probabilities: Fortaleza 47%, draw 30%, Athletic Club MG 23%.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza vs Athletic Club MG?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Fortaleza 1.39 · Athletic Club MG 0.91), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza vs Athletic Club MG?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.