Football · Japan L1 League Women · 18/10, 07:00

Prediction: Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)

Team pages: Setagaya Sfida (W) · Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Setagaya Sfida (W)1.22

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)1.57

1X2

29% 27% 45%

Setagaya Sfida (W) Draw Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Setagaya Sfida (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLLLWLWD

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWDLWLLW

Head-to-head

Setagaya Sfida (W) 1–2–3 Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) (6 last)

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)1-1Setagaya Sfida (W)
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)1-0Setagaya Sfida (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)0-4Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)2-2Setagaya Sfida (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)1-0Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)3-1Setagaya Sfida (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Setagaya Sfida (W) 1485 · Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 1492

	Setagaya Sfida (W)	Draw	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
Our model	28%	27%	44%
Market	29%	26%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Viamaterras Miyazaki (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Setagaya Sfida (W)	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.4 / 0	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.40

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.30
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.71 ★
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:29 +8’	3.10	3.40	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:21 +53’	3.30	3.71	1.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Setagaya Sfida (W) 1–2–3 Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Setagaya Sfida (W)
31/08/25 Japan L1 League Women	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Setagaya Sfida (W)
27/04/25 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
08/12/24 Japan Cup Women	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	2-2 HT 2-1	Setagaya Sfida (W)
20/10/24 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
17/03/24 Japan L1 League Women	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	3-1 HT 0-1	Setagaya Sfida (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	21	12	5	4	52	15	41
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	21	11	6	4	42	20	39
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	20	10	6	4	28	15	36
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	20	10	5	5	36	26	35
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	20	10	5	5	28	19	35
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	20	9	4	7	35	29	31
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	20	8	4	8	30	34	28
8	Ehime FC (W)	20	7	4	9	24	38	25
9	Setagaya Sfida (W)	20	6	5	9	29	33	23
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	20	5	5	10	20	30	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	20	4	1	15	20	56	13
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	20	3	2	15	13	42	11

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Setagaya Sfida (W)	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Vonds Ichihara (W)	1-0 W	3-1 W
Nittaidai FC (W)	2-3 L	2-1 W
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	2-0 W	0-2 L
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	1-2 L	0-0 D
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	0-3 L	2-2 D
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	0-2 L	1-5 L
AS Harima Albion (W)	2-2 D	1-3 L
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	2-1 W	1-2 L
Ehime FC (W)	0-0 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Setagaya Sfida (W)

DWDLLLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
26/09	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
20/09	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-2	2-3	3	0	L
12/09	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
05/09	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
08/08	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-3	2	0	L
21/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
13/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-2	3	0	D
07/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-1	5	1	W
24/05	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)

WLDWDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-0	6	1	W
27/09	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-2	0	1	L
20/09	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-3	1-5	9	1	L
12/09	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
05/09	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
27/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
21/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	3-1	7	0	W
14/06	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-2	2-2	9	0	D
07/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
24/05	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	9	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Setagaya Sfida (W) 29%, draw 27%, Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 45%.

How many goals are expected in Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Setagaya Sfida (W) 1.22 · Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 1.57), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.