Football · Japan L1 League Women · 25/10, 05:00

Prediction: Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) vs Vonds Ichihara (W)

Team pages: Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) · Vonds Ichihara (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)2.31

Vonds Ichihara (W)0.48

1X2

79% 15% 6%

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Draw Vonds Ichihara (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWDLWDD

Vonds Ichihara (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWWLDD

Head-to-head

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 1–1 Vonds Ichihara (W) (2 last)

Vonds Ichihara (W)1-5Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Vonds Ichihara (W)2-1Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 1539 · Vonds Ichihara (W) 1479

	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	Draw	Vonds Ichihara (W)
Our model	78%	16%	5%
Market	80%	13%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) (rating 1539 vs 1479).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	Vonds Ichihara (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.8	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	2.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.14

X7.00

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.98

2 (+2.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 1 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:57 +23’	1.14	7.00	13.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 1–0–1 Vonds Ichihara (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	Vonds Ichihara (W)	1-5 HT 1-4	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
08/12/24 Japan Cup Women	Vonds Ichihara (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	21	12	5	4	52	15	41
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	21	11	6	4	42	20	39
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	21	11	6	4	29	15	39
4	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	21	10	6	5	29	20	36
5	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	21	10	5	6	38	30	35
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	21	9	5	7	38	32	32
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	21	8	4	9	31	36	28
8	Setagaya Sfida (W)	21	7	5	9	33	35	26
9	Ehime FC (W)	21	7	5	9	27	41	26
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	21	5	5	11	20	31	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	21	5	1	15	22	57	16
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	21	3	3	15	14	43	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	Vonds Ichihara (W)
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	0-0 D	0-0 D
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	2-1 W	1-3 L
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Ehime FC (W)	3-1 W	2-0 W
AS Harima Albion (W)	5-0 W	0-1 L
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Nittaidai FC (W)	5-0 W	2-1 W
Setagaya Sfida (W)	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

LWLWWDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/10	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
27/09	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-1	6	1	W
19/09	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	3	0	L
13/09	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
05/09	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-1	3	1	W
28/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	5-0	4	0	W
21/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	1	0	L
13/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-0	5-0	4	0	W
07/06	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-2	13	1	L

Vonds Ichihara (W)

LLLDWWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
04/10	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
26/09	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	10	1	L
20/09	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-0	6	0	W
12/09	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
06/09	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-1	4	1	W
28/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
21/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-3	1	0	L
13/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
06/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) vs Vonds Ichihara (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 79%, draw 15%, Vonds Ichihara (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) vs Vonds Ichihara (W)?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 2.31 · Vonds Ichihara (W) 0.48), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) vs Vonds Ichihara (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.