Football · Japan L1 League Women · 25/10, 05:00

Prediction: Ehime FC (W) vs Setagaya Sfida (W)

Team pages: Ehime FC (W) · Setagaya Sfida (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Ehime FC (W)1.42

Setagaya Sfida (W)1.65

1X2

32% 27% 42%

Ehime FC (W) Draw Setagaya Sfida (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Ehime FC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWWLD

Setagaya Sfida (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLLWLWDW

Head-to-head

Ehime FC (W) 0–1–5 Setagaya Sfida (W) (6 last)

Setagaya Sfida (W)0-0Ehime FC (W)
Ehime FC (W)2-5Setagaya Sfida (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)2-0Ehime FC (W)
Ehime FC (W)0-3Setagaya Sfida (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)2-0Ehime FC (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)3-0Ehime FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ehime FC (W) 1484 · Setagaya Sfida (W) 1497

	Ehime FC (W)	Draw	Setagaya Sfida (W)
Our model	32%	26%	42%
Market	32%	27%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Setagaya Sfida (W): 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ehime FC (W)	Setagaya Sfida (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.2	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.8	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	0.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.30

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80
X	3.40 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
2	2.10 → 2.15▲	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:45 +35’	2.88	3.40	2.10
11:17 +70’	2.80▼	3.30▼	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ehime FC (W) 0–1–5 Setagaya Sfida (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Ehime FC (W)
29/06/25 Japan L1 League Women	Ehime FC (W)	2-5 HT 1-2	Setagaya Sfida (W)
20/04/25 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Ehime FC (W)
30/06/24 Japan L1 League Women	Ehime FC (W)	0-3 HT 0-3	Setagaya Sfida (W)
21/04/24 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Ehime FC (W)
03/09/23 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Ehime FC (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	21	12	5	4	52	15	41
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	21	11	6	4	42	20	39
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	21	11	6	4	29	15	39
4	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	21	10	6	5	29	20	36
5	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	21	10	5	6	38	30	35
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	21	9	5	7	38	32	32
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	21	8	4	9	31	36	28
8	Setagaya Sfida (W)	21	7	5	9	33	35	26
9	Ehime FC (W)	21	7	5	9	27	41	26
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	21	5	5	11	20	31	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	21	5	1	15	22	57	16
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	21	3	3	15	14	43	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ehime FC (W)	Setagaya Sfida (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	3-3 D	0-3 L
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	0-3 L	4-2 W
AS Harima Albion (W)	3-0 W	2-2 D
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	3-2 W	1-2 L
Vonds Ichihara (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	1-3 L	2-1 W
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	2-1 W	0-2 L
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	0-6 L	2-0 W
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Nittaidai FC (W)	1-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ehime FC (W)

WLLWLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-3	3-3	4	1	D
04/10	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
27/09	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
20/09	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-2	5	0	W
12/09	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
05/09	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-3	1	1	L
28/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-1	3	0	W
20/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-6	1	2	L
14/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	9	0	L
07/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	7	0	W

Setagaya Sfida (W)

WDLLLWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	4-2	5	0	W
04/10	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
26/09	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
20/09	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-2	2-3	3	0	L
12/09	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
05/09	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
08/08	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-3	2	0	L
21/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
13/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-2	3	0	D
07/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-1	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ehime FC (W) vs Setagaya Sfida (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Setagaya Sfida (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Ehime FC (W) 32%, draw 27%, Setagaya Sfida (W) 42%.

How many goals are expected in Ehime FC (W) vs Setagaya Sfida (W)?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Ehime FC (W) 1.42 · Setagaya Sfida (W) 1.65), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ehime FC (W) vs Setagaya Sfida (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.