Football · Japan L1 League Women · 25/10, 05:00

Prediction: AS Harima Albion (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

Team pages: AS Harima Albion (W) · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

AS Harima Albion (W)1.43

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)1.52

1X2

35% 26% 39%

AS Harima Albion (W) Draw Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

AS Harima Albion (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDLLLL

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWWWDD

Head-to-head

AS Harima Albion (W) 2–1–3 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) (6 last)

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)0-2AS Harima Albion (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)3-1AS Harima Albion (W)
AS Harima Albion (W)2-0Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
AS Harima Albion (W)1-2Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)2-1AS Harima Albion (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)1-1AS Harima Albion (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AS Harima Albion (W) 1473 · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1535

	AS Harima Albion (W)	Draw	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Our model	35%	27%	39%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) (rating 1473 vs 1535).
H2H favours Yokohama FC Seagulls (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AS Harima Albion (W)	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.7	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	1.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.2	1.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	0.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.50

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:36 +13’	2.55	3.50	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Harima Albion (W) 2–1–3 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	AS Harima Albion (W)
07/06/25 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	AS Harima Albion (W)
29/03/25 Japan L1 League Women	AS Harima Albion (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
16/06/24 Japan L1 League Women	AS Harima Albion (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
06/04/24 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	AS Harima Albion (W)
09/10/23 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	AS Harima Albion (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	21	12	5	4	52	15	41
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	21	11	6	4	42	20	39
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	21	11	6	4	29	15	39
4	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	21	10	6	5	29	20	36
5	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	21	10	5	6	38	30	35
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	21	9	5	7	38	32	32
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	21	8	4	9	31	36	28
8	Setagaya Sfida (W)	21	7	5	9	33	35	26
9	Ehime FC (W)	21	7	5	9	27	41	26
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	21	5	5	11	20	31	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	21	5	1	15	22	57	16
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	21	3	3	15	14	43	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AS Harima Albion (W)	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	1-3 L	2-0 W
Ehime FC (W)	0-3 L	3-3 D
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	1-2 L	3-0 W
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	0-0 D	1-4 L
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	3-1 W	2-2 D
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	0-5 L	1-0 W
Nittaidai FC (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Setagaya Sfida (W)	2-2 D	3-0 W
Vonds Ichihara (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	5 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AS Harima Albion (W)

WDWLWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	4	0	L
04/10	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
27/09	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
19/09	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-2	5	0	L
13/09	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
05/09	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
28/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-5	2	0	L
21/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
13/06	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-2	1	0	D
06/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	2	2	W

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

LDLWWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-1	3-3	4	1	D
04/10	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
26/09	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-1	3	0	W
19/09	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
13/09	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
05/09	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-0	3-0	3	0	W
08/08	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
20/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
14/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	2-2	6	0	D
07/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-4	1-4	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AS Harima Albion (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) win (39%). Probabilities: AS Harima Albion (W) 35%, draw 26%, Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in AS Harima Albion (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)?

The model expects 2.95 goals (AS Harima Albion (W) 1.43 · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1.52), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AS Harima Albion (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.