Football · Japan L1 League Women · 25/10, 05:00

Prediction: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W)

Team pages: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) · Nittaidai FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)1.96

Nittaidai FC (W)0.71

1X2

67% 21% 12%

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Draw Nittaidai FC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDWLLWWD

Nittaidai FC (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLW

Head-to-head

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 5–1 Nittaidai FC (W) (6 last)

Nittaidai FC (W)0-3Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)1-0Nittaidai FC (W)
Nittaidai FC (W)0-3Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)2-1Nittaidai FC (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)2-1Nittaidai FC (W)
Nittaidai FC (W)2-0Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1541 · Nittaidai FC (W) 1415

	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	Draw	Nittaidai FC (W)
Our model	66%	22%	12%
Market	67%	20%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (rating 1541 vs 1415).
H2H favours Iga FC Kunoichi (W): 5-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	Nittaidai FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.2	0.8 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.4 / 0	0.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:09 +11’	1.33	4.50	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 5–0–1 Nittaidai FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	Nittaidai FC (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
07/12/25 Japan Cup Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Nittaidai FC (W)
28/06/25 Japan L1 League Women	Nittaidai FC (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
20/04/25 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Nittaidai FC (W)
09/06/24 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Nittaidai FC (W)
31/03/24 Japan L1 League Women	Nittaidai FC (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	21	12	5	4	52	15	41
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	21	11	6	4	42	20	39
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	21	11	6	4	29	15	39
4	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	21	10	6	5	29	20	36
5	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	21	10	5	6	38	30	35
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	21	9	5	7	38	32	32
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	21	8	4	9	31	36	28
8	Setagaya Sfida (W)	21	7	5	9	33	35	26
9	Ehime FC (W)	21	7	5	9	27	41	26
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	21	5	5	11	20	31	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	21	5	1	15	22	57	16
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	21	3	3	15	14	43	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	Nittaidai FC (W)
Vonds Ichihara (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
AS Harima Albion (W)	3-1 W	0-1 L
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	4-1 W	2-1 W
Ehime FC (W)	2-3 L	0-1 L
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	0-2 L	1-2 L
Setagaya Sfida (W)	2-1 W	3-2 W
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	1-0 W	0-5 L
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	1-2 L	1-3 L
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

DLWDWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
04/10	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-1	8	0	W
27/09	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	4-1	9	2	W
20/09	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-3	13	0	L
13/09	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
05/09	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	2-1	3	0	W
27/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
21/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
13/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
07/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D

Nittaidai FC (W)

LLLLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
03/10	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-2	1-3	3	1	L
26/09	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-2	5	0	L
20/09	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	3-2	2	0	W
12/09	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
06/09	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-2	5	1	L
27/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
21/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
13/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-3	0-5	2	0	L
07/06	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Iga FC Kunoichi (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 67%, draw 21%, Nittaidai FC (W) 12%.

How many goals are expected in Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W)?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1.96 · Nittaidai FC (W) 0.71), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.