Football · Japan L1 League Women · 25/10, 05:00

Prediction: Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) vs Orca Kamogawa FC (W)

Team pages: Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) · Orca Kamogawa FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)1.43

Orca Kamogawa FC (W)1.25

1X2

41% 28% 32%

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Draw Orca Kamogawa FC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWDLWLLWL

Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDLDWW

Head-to-head

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 4–1–0 Orca Kamogawa FC (W) (5 last)

Orca Kamogawa FC (W)0-2Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)1-1Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)2-0Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)4-3Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)0-4Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 1479 · Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 1544

	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	Draw	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
Our model	40%	28%	32%
Market	41%	27%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orca Kamogawa FC (W) (rating 1479 vs 1544).
H2H favours Viamaterras Miyazaki (W): 4-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	1.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.3	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	1.2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.7 / 0	0.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.30

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:11 +9’	2.20	3.30	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 4–1–0 Orca Kamogawa FC (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
15/06/25 Japan L1 League Women	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
06/04/25 Japan L1 League Women	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
13/10/24 Japan L1 League Women	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	4-3 HT 2-2	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
24/03/24 Japan L1 League Women	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	0-4 HT 0-1	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	21	12	5	4	52	15	41
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	21	11	6	4	42	20	39
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	21	11	6	4	29	15	39
4	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	21	10	6	5	29	20	36
5	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	21	10	5	6	38	30	35
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	21	9	5	7	38	32	32
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	21	8	4	9	31	36	28
8	Setagaya Sfida (W)	21	7	5	9	33	35	26
9	Ehime FC (W)	21	7	5	9	27	41	26
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	21	5	5	11	20	31	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	21	5	1	15	22	57	16
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	21	3	3	15	14	43	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)	2-4 L	1-1 D
Ehime FC (W)	3-0 W	2-1 W
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	1-5 L	5-1 W
Nittaidai FC (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
AS Harima Albion (W)	1-3 L	1-0 W
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	0-0 D	0-0 D
Vonds Ichihara (W)	3-1 W	0-2 L
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	2-2 D	2-1 W
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	6 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Orca Kamogawa FC (W) (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)

LDWDLWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	2-4	5	0	L
04/10	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-0	6	1	W
27/09	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-2	0	1	L
20/09	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-3	1-5	9	1	L
12/09	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
05/09	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
27/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
21/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	3-1	7	0	W
14/06	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-2	2-2	9	0	D
07/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	2	1	L

Orca Kamogawa FC (W)

DWWWWDLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	3	0	W
11/10	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
04/10	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
20/09	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-2	7	0	L
13/09	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
06/09	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-1	5-1	4	0	W
27/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	10	0	W
20/06	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	2-1	2	0	W
14/06	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	1	0	W
07/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) vs Orca Kamogawa FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 41%, draw 28%, Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 32%.

How many goals are expected in Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) vs Orca Kamogawa FC (W)?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 1.43 · Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) vs Orca Kamogawa FC (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.