Football · Japan L1 League Women · 18/10, 07:00

Prediction: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Ehime FC (W)

Team pages: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) · Ehime FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)1.7

Ehime FC (W)1.23

1X2

47% 26% 27%

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Draw Ehime FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWWWWD

Ehime FC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 2–2–2 Ehime FC (W) (6 last)

Ehime FC (W)3-1Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)1-1Ehime FC (W)
Ehime FC (W)0-0Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)1-0Ehime FC (W)
Ehime FC (W)0-1Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Ehime FC (W)1-0Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1530 · Ehime FC (W) 1488

	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	Draw	Ehime FC (W)
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	47%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) (rating 1530 vs 1488).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	Ehime FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.5	2.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.2 / 0	0.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.40

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.44
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 4.04 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:32 +4’	1.91	3.40	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:06 +8’	1.76	3.44	4.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 2–2–2 Ehime FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	Ehime FC (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
12/10/25 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Ehime FC (W)
16/03/25 Japan L1 League Women	Ehime FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
28/09/24 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Ehime FC (W)
18/05/24 Japan L1 League Women	Ehime FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
27/08/23 Japan L1 League Women	Ehime FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	21	12	5	4	52	15	41
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	21	11	6	4	42	20	39
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	20	10	6	4	28	15	36
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	20	10	5	5	36	26	35
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	20	10	5	5	28	19	35
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	20	9	4	7	35	29	31
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	20	8	4	8	30	34	28
8	Ehime FC (W)	20	7	4	9	24	38	25
9	Setagaya Sfida (W)	20	6	5	9	29	33	23
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	20	5	5	10	20	30	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	20	4	1	15	20	56	13
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	20	3	2	15	13	42	11

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	Ehime FC (W)
Vonds Ichihara (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Nittaidai FC (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	1-0 W	1-3 L
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	2-0 W	3-2 W
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	3-0 W	0-6 L
Setagaya Sfida (W)	3-0 W	0-0 D
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	2-2 D	0-3 L
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	1-4 L	2-1 W
AS Harima Albion (W)	0-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
26/09	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-1	3	0	W
19/09	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
13/09	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
05/09	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-0	3-0	3	0	W
08/08	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
20/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
14/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	2-2	6	0	D
07/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-4	1-4	5	2	L
24/05	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-2	2	0	L

Ehime FC (W)

DWLLWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
27/09	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
20/09	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-2	5	0	W
12/09	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
05/09	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-3	1	1	L
28/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-1	3	0	W
20/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-6	1	2	L
14/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	9	0	L
07/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	7	0	W
24/05	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	10	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Ehime FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 47%, draw 26%, Ehime FC (W) 27%.

How many goals are expected in Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Ehime FC (W)?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1.7 · Ehime FC (W) 1.23), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Ehime FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.