Football · Japan L1 League Women · 18/10, 06:00

Prediction: Orca Kamogawa FC (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W)

Team pages: Orca Kamogawa FC (W) · AS Harima Albion (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Orca Kamogawa FC (W)1.48

AS Harima Albion (W)0.77

1X2

53% 28% 19%

Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Draw AS Harima Albion (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWDLDW

AS Harima Albion (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWDLLL

Head-to-head

Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 4–2–0 AS Harima Albion (W) (6 last)

AS Harima Albion (W)0-1Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)2-0AS Harima Albion (W)
AS Harima Albion (W)0-0Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)0-0AS Harima Albion (W)
AS Harima Albion (W)0-2Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)1-0AS Harima Albion (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 1546 · AS Harima Albion (W) 1472

	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	Draw	AS Harima Albion (W)
Our model	53%	29%	18%
Market	54%	26%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orca Kamogawa FC (W) (rating 1546 vs 1472).
H2H favours Orca Kamogawa FC (W): 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	AS Harima Albion (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.5	1.2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.4 / 0	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.40

24.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.74 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.60 → 4.60	Bet365 4.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:26 +8’	1.67	3.40	4.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:12 +22’	1.83	3.14	3.90
20:21 +53’	1.74▼	3.33▲	4.36▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 4–2–0 AS Harima Albion (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	AS Harima Albion (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
07/09/25 Japan L1 League Women	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	AS Harima Albion (W)
04/05/25 Japan L1 League Women	AS Harima Albion (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
09/06/24 Japan L1 League Women	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	AS Harima Albion (W)
30/03/24 Japan L1 League Women	AS Harima Albion (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
25/06/23 Japan L1 League Women	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	AS Harima Albion (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	21	12	5	4	52	15	41
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	21	11	6	4	42	20	39
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	20	10	6	4	28	15	36
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	20	10	5	5	36	26	35
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	20	10	5	5	28	19	35
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	20	9	4	7	35	29	31
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	20	8	4	8	30	34	28
8	Ehime FC (W)	20	7	4	9	24	38	25
9	Setagaya Sfida (W)	20	6	5	9	29	33	23
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	20	5	5	10	20	30	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	20	4	1	15	20	56	13
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	20	3	2	15	13	42	11

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	AS Harima Albion (W)
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
Setagaya Sfida (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Vonds Ichihara (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	1-1 D	0-5 L
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	5-1 W	0-0 D
Nittaidai FC (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Ehime FC (W)	2-1 W	0-3 L
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	0-0 D	1-3 L
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	0-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Orca Kamogawa FC (W) (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orca Kamogawa FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
04/10	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
20/09	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-2	7	0	L
13/09	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
06/09	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-1	5-1	4	0	W
27/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	10	0	W
20/06	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	2-1	2	0	W
14/06	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	1	0	W
07/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
24/05	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	0	1	L

AS Harima Albion (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
27/09	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
19/09	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-2	5	0	L
13/09	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
05/09	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
28/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-5	2	0	L
21/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
13/06	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-2	1	0	D
06/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
24/05	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	2-0	5	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orca Kamogawa FC (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orca Kamogawa FC (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 53%, draw 28%, AS Harima Albion (W) 19%.

How many goals are expected in Orca Kamogawa FC (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W)?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 1.48 · AS Harima Albion (W) 0.77), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Orca Kamogawa FC (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.