Football · Japan L1 League Women · 18/10, 04:00
Prediction: Nittaidai FC (W) vs Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
Team pages: Nittaidai FC (W) · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Nittaidai FC (W)1.53
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)1.53
1X2
Nittaidai FC (W)
Draw
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Nittaidai FC (W)
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nittaidai FC (W)
3–2–0
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
(5 last)
- Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)0-1Nittaidai FC (W)
- Nittaidai FC (W)3-0Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
- Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)2-2Nittaidai FC (W)
- Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)0-2Nittaidai FC (W)
- Nittaidai FC (W)3-3Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nittaidai FC (W) 1416 · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1487
| Nittaidai FC (W) | Draw | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) (rating 1416 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Nittaidai FC (W): 3-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nittaidai FC (W) | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.2 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.9 | 1 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.5 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nittaidai FC (W) 3–2–0 Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Japan L1 League Women | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Nittaidai FC (W) |
| 21/09/25 Japan L1 League Women | Nittaidai FC (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) |
| 18/05/25 Japan L1 League Women | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Nittaidai FC (W) |
| 17/09/17 Japan L2 League Women | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nittaidai FC (W) |
| 13/05/17 Japan L2 League Women | Nittaidai FC (W) | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) |
Standings · Japan L1 League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 52 | 15 | 41 |
| 2 | Loveledge Nagoya (W) | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 42 | 20 | 39 |
| 3 | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 15 | 36 |
| 4 | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 35 |
| 5 | Iga FC Kunoichi (W) | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 35 |
| 6 | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 29 | 31 |
| 7 | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 34 | 28 |
| 8 | Ehime FC (W) | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 25 |
| 9 | Setagaya Sfida (W) | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 33 | 23 |
| 10 | AS Harima Albion (W) | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 20 |
| 11 | Nittaidai FC (W) | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 20 | 56 | 13 |
| 12 | Vonds Ichihara (W) | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 11 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nittaidai FC (W) | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Loveledge Nagoya (W) | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Setagaya Sfida (W) | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) | 1-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Vonds Ichihara (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Orca Kamogawa FC (W) | 0-1 L | 1-5 L |
| AS Harima Albion (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Ehime FC (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Iga FC Kunoichi (W) | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 9 L | 4 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nittaidai FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 20/09 | Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 27/09 | Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-3 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women |
4-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nittaidai FC (W) vs Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nittaidai FC (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Nittaidai FC (W) 37%, draw 26%, Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 37%.
How many goals are expected in Nittaidai FC (W) vs Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Nittaidai FC (W) 1.53 · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1.53), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nittaidai FC (W) vs Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.