Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 11/07, 06:00
Prediction: South Hobart vs Ulverstone
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.84Total
South Hobart3.21
Ulverstone1.63
1X2
South Hobart
Draw
Ulverstone
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
South Hobart
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Ulverstone
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
South Hobart
1–0
Ulverstone
(1 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South Hobart (rating 1585 vs 1403).
- High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| South Hobart | Ulverstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.8 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 3.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.9 / 10.4 | 1.4 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · South Hobart 1–0–0 Ulverstone
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Ulverstone | 0-6 HT 0-3 | South Hobart |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 12 | 35 |
| 2 | Kingborough Lions | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 14 | 34 |
| 3 | Devonport City | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Riverside Olympic | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 23 |
| 6 | Clarence Zebras FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 21 |
| 7 | South East United FC | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 12 |
| 8 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 11 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 52 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | South Hobart | Ulverstone |
|---|---|---|
| South East United FC | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Glenorchy Knights FC | 6-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Kingborough Lions | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Clarence Zebras FC | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Launceston United | 4-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Riverside Olympic | 1-1 D | 0-6 L |
| Launceston City | 8-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Devonport City | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: South Hobart (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
South Hobart
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 6-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 8-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
Ulverstone
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 10/05 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in South Hobart vs Ulverstone?
According to our model, the most likely result is a South Hobart win (68%). Probabilities: South Hobart 68%, draw 16%, Ulverstone 16%.
How many goals are expected in South Hobart vs Ulverstone?
The model expects 4.84 goals (South Hobart 3.21 · Ulverstone 1.63), with a 52% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in South Hobart vs Ulverstone?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.