Prediction: Devonport City vs South East United FC
Expected goals: 4.26 (Devonport City 3.13 · South East United FC 1.13). The model gives 80% home, 11% draw, 8% away. Over 4.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 3-1.
On recent form, Devonport City is 7-1-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and South East United FC 4-0-6 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Devonport City and 0 for South East United FC.
| Devonport City | Draw | South East United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 84% | 9% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Devonport City (rating 1566 vs 1461).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Devonport City | South East United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Devonport City 1–0–0 South East United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | South East United FC | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Devonport City |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 12 | 35 |
| 2 | Kingborough Lions | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | Devonport City | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Clarence Zebras FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 21 |
| 6 | Riverside Olympic | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 20 |
| 7 | South East United FC | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 12 |
| 8 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 11 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 52 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Devonport City | South East United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Riverside Olympic | 4-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Kingborough Lions | 1-2 L | 0-9 L |
| Clarence Zebras FC | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Ulverstone | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Launceston City | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Glenorchy Knights FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| South Hobart | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Devonport City (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Devonport City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
South East United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-7 | 0-9 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 09/05 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-2 | 6-4 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 0 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Devonport City vs South East United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Devonport City win (80%). Probabilities: Devonport City 80%, draw 11%, South East United FC 8%.
How many goals are expected in Devonport City vs South East United FC?
The model expects 4.26 goals (Devonport City 3.13 · South East United FC 1.13), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Devonport City vs South East United FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.