Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 19/07, 06:30
Prediction: South East United FC vs Launceston United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.11Total
South East United FC2.32
Launceston United1.79
1X2
South East United FC
Draw
Launceston United
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
South East United FC
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Launceston United
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
South East United FC
1–0
Launceston United
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · South East United FC 1460 · Launceston United 1396
| South East United FC | Draw | Launceston United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 21% | 29% |
| Market | 50% | 21% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South East United FC (rating 1460 vs 1396).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| South East United FC | Launceston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.7 | 1.1 / 3.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 0.5 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 3.8 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · South East United FC 1–0–0 Launceston United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 4-6 HT 2-3 | South East United FC |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 | Kingborough Lions | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 14 | 34 |
| 3 | Devonport City | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 15 | 34 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 27 |
| 5 | Riverside Olympic | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 23 |
| 6 | Clarence Zebras FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 7 | South East United FC | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 12 |
| 8 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 11 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 54 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | South East United FC | Launceston United |
|---|---|---|
| South Hobart | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Launceston City | 0-1 L | 1-7 L |
| Glenorchy Knights FC | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Kingborough Lions | 0-9 L | 1-7 L |
| Clarence Zebras FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Ulverstone | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Riverside Olympic | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: South East United FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
South East United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-7 | 0-9 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 09/05 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-2 | 6-4 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
Launceston United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-4 | 1-7 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-6 | 1-7 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in South East United FC vs Launceston United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a South East United FC win (49%). Probabilities: South East United FC 49%, draw 21%, Launceston United 30%.
How many goals are expected in South East United FC vs Launceston United?
The model expects 4.11 goals (South East United FC 2.32 · Launceston United 1.79), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in South East United FC vs Launceston United?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.