Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 18/07, 06:30
Prediction: Devonport City vs South Hobart
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.66Total
Devonport City1.52
South Hobart2.14
1X2
Devonport City
Draw
South Hobart
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Devonport City
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
South Hobart
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Devonport City
1–2–3
South Hobart
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Devonport City 1555 · South Hobart 1594
| Devonport City | Draw | South Hobart | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 22% | 51% |
| Market | 27% | 21% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours South Hobart: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 15.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Devonport City | South Hobart | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.1 | 3.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.7 | 4.9 / 10 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Devonport City 1–2–3 South Hobart
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | South Hobart | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Devonport City |
| 06/09/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Devonport City | 0-3 HT 0-1 | South Hobart |
| 19/07/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | South Hobart | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Devonport City |
| 10/05/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Devonport City | 2-2 HT 1-0 | South Hobart |
| 19/04/25 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | South Hobart | 4-3 HT 1-1 | Devonport City |
| 24/08/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | South Hobart | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Devonport City |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 | Kingborough Lions | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 14 | 34 |
| 3 | Devonport City | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 15 | 34 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 27 |
| 5 | Riverside Olympic | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 23 |
| 6 | Clarence Zebras FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 7 | South East United FC | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 12 |
| 8 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 11 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 54 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Devonport City | South Hobart |
|---|---|---|
| South East United FC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Riverside Olympic | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Kingborough Lions | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Clarence Zebras FC | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Ulverstone | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Launceston City | 3-1 W | 8-1 W |
| Glenorchy Knights FC | 2-1 W | 6-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: South Hobart (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Devonport City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
South Hobart
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 6-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 8-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Devonport City vs South Hobart?
According to our model, the most likely result is an South Hobart win (52%). Probabilities: Devonport City 27%, draw 22%, South Hobart 52%.
How many goals are expected in Devonport City vs South Hobart?
The model expects 3.66 goals (Devonport City 1.52 · South Hobart 2.14), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Devonport City vs South Hobart?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.