Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 18/07, 06:30
Prediction: Riverside Olympic vs Clarence Zebras FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Riverside Olympic1.65
Clarence Zebras FC1.65
1X2
Riverside Olympic
Draw
Clarence Zebras FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Riverside Olympic
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Clarence Zebras FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Riverside Olympic
5–1
Clarence Zebras FC
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riverside Olympic 1500 · Clarence Zebras FC 1477
| Riverside Olympic | Draw | Clarence Zebras FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 25% | 38% |
| Market | 39% | 22% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Riverside Olympic: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 14.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Riverside Olympic | Clarence Zebras FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.2 | 3.4 / 8.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Riverside Olympic 5–0–1 Clarence Zebras FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Clarence Zebras FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Riverside Olympic |
| 16/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Riverside Olympic | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Clarence Zebras FC |
| 21/06/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Clarence Zebras FC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Riverside Olympic |
| 12/04/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Riverside Olympic | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Clarence Zebras FC |
| 07/09/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Clarence Zebras FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Riverside Olympic |
| 13/07/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Clarence Zebras FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Riverside Olympic |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 | Kingborough Lions | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 14 | 34 |
| 3 | Devonport City | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 15 | 34 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 27 |
| 5 | Riverside Olympic | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 23 |
| 6 | Clarence Zebras FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 7 | South East United FC | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 12 |
| 8 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 11 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 54 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Riverside Olympic | Clarence Zebras FC |
|---|---|---|
| Launceston United | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Devonport City | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Ulverstone | 6-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Glenorchy Knights FC | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Kingborough Lions | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| South Hobart | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| South East United FC | 5-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Riverside Olympic (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riverside Olympic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Clarence Zebras FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riverside Olympic vs Clarence Zebras FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Riverside Olympic win (38%). Probabilities: Riverside Olympic 38%, draw 24%, Clarence Zebras FC 38%.
How many goals are expected in Riverside Olympic vs Clarence Zebras FC?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Riverside Olympic 1.65 · Clarence Zebras FC 1.65), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Riverside Olympic vs Clarence Zebras FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.