Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 19/07, 06:30
Prediction: Ulverstone vs Glenorchy Knights FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
Ulverstone1.01
Glenorchy Knights FC2.6
1X2
Ulverstone
Draw
Glenorchy Knights FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Ulverstone
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Glenorchy Knights FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ulverstone
0–1
Glenorchy Knights FC
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ulverstone 1406 · Glenorchy Knights FC 1452
| Ulverstone | Draw | Glenorchy Knights FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 18% | 71% |
| Market | 13% | 16% | 72% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.62 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glenorchy Knights FC (rating 1406 vs 1452).
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ulverstone | Glenorchy Knights FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 3 | 1.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.1 | 1.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ulverstone 0–0–1 Glenorchy Knights FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Glenorchy Knights FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Ulverstone |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 | Kingborough Lions | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 14 | 34 |
| 3 | Devonport City | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 15 | 34 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 27 |
| 5 | Riverside Olympic | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 23 |
| 6 | Clarence Zebras FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 7 | South East United FC | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 12 |
| 8 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 11 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 54 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ulverstone | Glenorchy Knights FC |
|---|---|---|
| South Hobart | 0-2 L | 1-6 L |
| Kingborough Lions | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Riverside Olympic | 0-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Launceston United | 2-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Launceston City | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Devonport City | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| South East United FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Clarence Zebras FC | 0-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 7 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Glenorchy Knights FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ulverstone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 10/05 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
Glenorchy Knights FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 16 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ulverstone vs Glenorchy Knights FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Glenorchy Knights FC win (71%). Probabilities: Ulverstone 12%, draw 16%, Glenorchy Knights FC 71%.
How many goals are expected in Ulverstone vs Glenorchy Knights FC?
The model expects 3.62 goals (Ulverstone 1.01 · Glenorchy Knights FC 2.6), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Ulverstone vs Glenorchy Knights FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.