Prediction: Launceston United vs Riverside Olympic
Expected goals: 4.27 (Launceston United 1.41 · Riverside Olympic 2.86). The model gives 16% home, 17% draw, 67% away. Under 4.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Over its last 10 matches, Launceston United sits at 1-2-7 (W-D-L), while Riverside Olympic arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Launceston United won 1 and Riverside Olympic 4, with 1 draw.
| Launceston United | Draw | Riverside Olympic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| Market | 16% | 16% | 67% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riverside Olympic (rating 1419 vs 1490).
- H2H favours Riverside Olympic: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Launceston United | Riverside Olympic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 3.5 | 1.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.6 | 3.5 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Launceston United 1–1–4 Riverside Olympic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Riverside Olympic | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Launceston United |
| 02/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Riverside Olympic | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Launceston United |
| 31/05/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Riverside Olympic |
| 22/03/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Riverside Olympic |
| 23/08/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Riverside Olympic | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Launceston United |
| 19/07/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 0-5 HT 0-4 | Riverside Olympic |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 12 | 35 |
| 2 | Kingborough Lions | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | Devonport City | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Clarence Zebras FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 21 |
| 6 | Riverside Olympic | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 20 |
| 7 | South East United FC | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 12 |
| 8 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 11 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 52 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Launceston United | Riverside Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Clarence Zebras FC | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Ulverstone | 3-2 W | 6-0 W |
| South Hobart | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Glenorchy Knights FC | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Kingborough Lions | 1-7 L | 0-3 L |
| South East United FC | 4-6 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Riverside Olympic (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Launceston United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-4 | 1-7 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-6 | 1-7 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 1 | D |
Riverside Olympic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Launceston United vs Riverside Olympic?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Riverside Olympic win (67%). Probabilities: Launceston United 16%, draw 17%, Riverside Olympic 67%.
How many goals are expected in Launceston United vs Riverside Olympic?
The model expects 4.27 goals (Launceston United 1.41 · Riverside Olympic 2.86), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Launceston United vs Riverside Olympic?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.