Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 02/08, 06:30

Prediction: Clarence Zebras FC vs Ulverstone

Team pages: Clarence Zebras FC · Ulverstone

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.81Total

Clarence Zebras FC2.77

Ulverstone1.04

1X2

73% 16% 11%

Clarence Zebras FC Draw Ulverstone

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Clarence Zebras FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDDDLW

Ulverstone 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Clarence Zebras FC 1–0 Ulverstone (1 last)

Ulverstone0-4Clarence Zebras FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Clarence Zebras FC 1508 · Ulverstone 1405

	Clarence Zebras FC	Draw	Ulverstone
Our model	73%	16%	11%
Market	73%	16%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.81 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clarence Zebras FC (rating 1508 vs 1405).
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Clarence Zebras FC	Ulverstone
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	0.6 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.1	0.1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.2 / 9.2	1.5 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.75

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.80

2 (+2)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 41.80

Under 42.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:25 +2’	1.22	5.75	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Clarence Zebras FC 1–0–0 Ulverstone

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Ulverstone	0-4 HT 0-3	Clarence Zebras FC

Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	South Hobart	16	13	2	1	57	13	41
2	Devonport City	16	12	1	3	49	18	37
3	Kingborough Lions	16	12	1	3	46	15	37
4	Launceston City	16	10	1	5	39	27	31
5	Riverside Olympic	16	7	3	6	28	25	24
6	Clarence Zebras FC	16	7	3	6	28	26	24
7	South East United FC	16	5	0	11	19	47	15
8	Glenorchy Knights FC	16	4	2	10	20	30	14
9	Launceston United	16	1	2	13	16	57	5
10	Ulverstone	16	1	1	14	12	56	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Clarence Zebras FC	Ulverstone
Riverside Olympic	4-2 W	0-6 L
Launceston City	1-2 L	1-3 L
Glenorchy Knights FC	2-2 D	0-2 L
Launceston United	1-1 D	2-3 L
Devonport City	2-2 D	0-1 L
South Hobart	1-3 L	0-2 L
South East United FC	2-1 W	0-2 L
Kingborough Lions	0-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Clarence Zebras FC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Clarence Zebras FC

WWLWLDDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-2	4-2	13	2	W
11/07	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-2	1-2	12	4	L
04/07	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-2	2-2	5	5	D
27/06	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
20/06	Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
13/06	South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
31/05	South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-1	2-1	7	1	W
23/05	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-2	0-4	6	4	L
10/05	Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League	3-0	4-0	14	4	W
02/05	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-0	4-0	15	1	W

Ulverstone

LLLLLLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
11/07	South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
04/07	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
27/06	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-3	0-6	2	2	L
20/06	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-2	2-3	4	1	L
14/06	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-3	3	1	L
30/05	Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
23/05	South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	0-2	8	10	L
10/05	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-3	0-4	3	4	L
02/05	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-2	1-2	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Clarence Zebras FC vs Ulverstone?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Clarence Zebras FC win (73%). Probabilities: Clarence Zebras FC 73%, draw 16%, Ulverstone 11%.

How many goals are expected in Clarence Zebras FC vs Ulverstone?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Clarence Zebras FC 2.77 · Ulverstone 1.04), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Clarence Zebras FC vs Ulverstone?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.