Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 08/08, 06:30
Prediction: Glenorchy Knights FC vs Launceston United
Team pages: Glenorchy Knights FC · Launceston United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.14Total
Glenorchy Knights FC3
Launceston United1.13
1X2
Glenorchy Knights FC
Draw
Launceston United
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Glenorchy Knights FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Launceston United
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Glenorchy Knights FC
6–0
Launceston United
(6 last)
- Launceston United0-4Glenorchy Knights FC
- Launceston United3-5Glenorchy Knights FC
- Glenorchy Knights FC3-0Launceston United
- Glenorchy Knights FC3-2Launceston United
- Launceston United0-7Glenorchy Knights FC
- Glenorchy Knights FC4-0Launceston United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Glenorchy Knights FC 1468 · Launceston United 1390
| Glenorchy Knights FC | Draw | Launceston United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| Market | 75% | 14% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.14 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glenorchy Knights FC (rating 1468 vs 1390).
- H2H favours Glenorchy Knights FC: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Glenorchy Knights FC | Launceston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 3.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 6.2 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Glenorchy Knights FC 6–0–0 Launceston United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Glenorchy Knights FC |
| 06/09/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 3-5 HT 1-2 | Glenorchy Knights FC |
| 19/07/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Glenorchy Knights FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Launceston United |
| 10/05/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Glenorchy Knights FC | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Launceston United |
| 27/07/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 0-7 | Glenorchy Knights FC |
| 25/05/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Glenorchy Knights FC | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Launceston United |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 60 | 14 | 44 |
| 2 | Kingborough Lions | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 15 | 40 |
| 3 | Devonport City | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 40 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 30 | 31 |
| 5 | Clarence Zebras FC | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 27 |
| 6 | Riverside Olympic | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 24 |
| 7 | South East United FC | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 18 |
| 8 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 14 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 16 | 59 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 57 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Glenorchy Knights FC | Launceston United |
|---|---|---|
| Devonport City | 1-2 L | 0-6 L |
| Ulverstone | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Kingborough Lions | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Clarence Zebras FC | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| South Hobart | 1-6 L | 1-4 L |
| South East United FC | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Riverside Olympic | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Launceston City | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Glenorchy Knights FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Glenorchy Knights FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Launceston United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-6 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/07 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/07 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/07 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-4 | 1-7 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Glenorchy Knights FC vs Launceston United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Glenorchy Knights FC win (75%). Probabilities: Glenorchy Knights FC 75%, draw 14%, Launceston United 11%.
How many goals are expected in Glenorchy Knights FC vs Launceston United?
The model expects 4.14 goals (Glenorchy Knights FC 3 · Launceston United 1.13), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Glenorchy Knights FC vs Launceston United?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.