Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 01/08, 08:45
Prediction: Glenorchy Knights FC vs Devonport City
Team pages: Glenorchy Knights FC · Devonport City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Glenorchy Knights FC1.18
Devonport City2.28
1X2
Glenorchy Knights FC
Draw
Devonport City
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Glenorchy Knights FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Devonport City
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Glenorchy Knights FC
2–3–1
Devonport City
(6 last)
- Devonport City2-1Glenorchy Knights FC
- Devonport City1-1Glenorchy Knights FC
- Glenorchy Knights FC1-1Devonport City
- Devonport City0-2Glenorchy Knights FC
- Glenorchy Knights FC0-0Devonport City
- Glenorchy Knights FC4-0Devonport City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Glenorchy Knights FC 1478 · Devonport City 1538
| Glenorchy Knights FC | Draw | Devonport City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| Market | 19% | 19% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Devonport City (rating 1478 vs 1538).
- H2H favours Glenorchy Knights FC: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Glenorchy Knights FC | Devonport City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 2.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 7.1 | 1.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Glenorchy Knights FC 2–3–1 Devonport City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Devonport City | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Glenorchy Knights FC |
| 09/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Devonport City | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Glenorchy Knights FC |
| 14/06/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Glenorchy Knights FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Devonport City |
| 05/04/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Devonport City | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Glenorchy Knights FC |
| 07/09/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Glenorchy Knights FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Devonport City |
| 13/07/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Glenorchy Knights FC | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Devonport City |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Devonport City | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 49 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Kingborough Lions | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 46 | 15 | 37 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | Riverside Olympic | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 24 |
| 6 | Clarence Zebras FC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 24 |
| 7 | South East United FC | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 47 | 15 |
| 8 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 14 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | 57 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 56 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Glenorchy Knights FC | Devonport City |
|---|---|---|
| Ulverstone | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Kingborough Lions | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Clarence Zebras FC | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| South Hobart | 1-6 L | 1-3 L |
| South East United FC | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Riverside Olympic | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Launceston City | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Launceston United | 4-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Devonport City (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Glenorchy Knights FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 16 | 1 | W |
Devonport City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Glenorchy Knights FC vs Devonport City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Devonport City win (62%). Probabilities: Glenorchy Knights FC 18%, draw 20%, Devonport City 62%.
How many goals are expected in Glenorchy Knights FC vs Devonport City?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Glenorchy Knights FC 1.18 · Devonport City 2.28), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Glenorchy Knights FC vs Devonport City?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.