Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 08/08, 06:00
Prediction: South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic
Team pages: South Hobart · Riverside Olympic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.11Total
South Hobart3.06
Riverside Olympic1.06
1X2
South Hobart
Draw
Riverside Olympic
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
South Hobart
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Riverside Olympic
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
South Hobart
5–1–0
Riverside Olympic
(6 last)
- Riverside Olympic1-1South Hobart
- Riverside Olympic0-7South Hobart
- South Hobart2-0Riverside Olympic
- Riverside Olympic0-4South Hobart
- Riverside Olympic0-3South Hobart
- South Hobart1-0Riverside Olympic
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · South Hobart 1602 · Riverside Olympic 1462
| South Hobart | Draw | Riverside Olympic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 84% | 9% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.11 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South Hobart (rating 1602 vs 1462).
- H2H favours South Hobart: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 16.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| South Hobart | Riverside Olympic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5 / 10 | 3.5 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · South Hobart 5–1–0 Riverside Olympic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Riverside Olympic | 1-1 HT 1-0 | South Hobart |
| 30/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Riverside Olympic | 0-7 HT 0-5 | South Hobart |
| 12/07/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | South Hobart | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Riverside Olympic |
| 17/05/25 Australia Cup Qualifying | Riverside Olympic | 0-4 HT 0-1 | South Hobart |
| 03/05/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Riverside Olympic | 0-3 HT 0-2 | South Hobart |
| 31/08/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | South Hobart | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Riverside Olympic |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 60 | 14 | 44 |
| 2 | Kingborough Lions | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 15 | 40 |
| 3 | Devonport City | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 40 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 30 | 31 |
| 5 | Clarence Zebras FC | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 27 |
| 6 | Riverside Olympic | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 24 |
| 7 | South East United FC | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 18 |
| 8 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 14 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 16 | 59 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 57 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | South Hobart | Riverside Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Launceston City | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Devonport City | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Ulverstone | 2-0 W | 6-0 W |
| South East United FC | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Glenorchy Knights FC | 6-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Kingborough Lions | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Clarence Zebras FC | 3-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Launceston United | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: South Hobart (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
South Hobart
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 11/07 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 6-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 8-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
Riverside Olympic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/07 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a South Hobart win (81%). Probabilities: South Hobart 81%, draw 12%, Riverside Olympic 8%.
How many goals are expected in South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic?
The model expects 4.11 goals (South Hobart 3.06 · Riverside Olympic 1.06), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.