Prediction: Glenorchy Knights FC vs Kingborough Lions
Expected goals: 3.7 (Glenorchy Knights FC 1.35 · Kingborough Lions 2.35). The model gives 21% home, 20% draw, 59% away. Under 3.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Over its last 10 matches, Glenorchy Knights FC sits at 2-2-6 (W-D-L), while Kingborough Lions arrives on a 8-1-1 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Glenorchy Knights FC won 3 and Kingborough Lions 2, with 1 draw.
| Glenorchy Knights FC | Draw | Kingborough Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 21% | 59% |
| Market | 21% | 19% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kingborough Lions (rating 1455 vs 1587).
- H2H favours Glenorchy Knights FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Glenorchy Knights FC | Kingborough Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2 | 3.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.7 | 3.1 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Glenorchy Knights FC 3–1–2 Kingborough Lions
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Kingborough Lions | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Glenorchy Knights FC |
| 15/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Glenorchy Knights FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Kingborough Lions |
| 21/06/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Kingborough Lions | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Glenorchy Knights FC |
| 12/04/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Kingborough Lions | 0-8 HT 0-2 | Glenorchy Knights FC |
| 23/08/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Glenorchy Knights FC | 4-2 HT 0-1 | Kingborough Lions |
| 29/06/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Kingborough Lions | 3-7 HT 0-5 | Glenorchy Knights FC |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 12 | 35 |
| 2 | Kingborough Lions | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | Devonport City | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Clarence Zebras FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 21 |
| 6 | Riverside Olympic | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 20 |
| 7 | South East United FC | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 12 |
| 8 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 11 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 52 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Glenorchy Knights FC | Kingborough Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Clarence Zebras FC | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| South Hobart | 1-6 L | 1-1 D |
| South East United FC | 0-1 L | 9-0 W |
| Riverside Olympic | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Launceston City | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Launceston United | 4-0 W | 7-1 W |
| Devonport City | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Ulverstone | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Kingborough Lions (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Glenorchy Knights FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 16 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
Kingborough Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
7-0 | 9-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
4-1 | 7-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Glenorchy Knights FC vs Kingborough Lions?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kingborough Lions win (59%). Probabilities: Glenorchy Knights FC 21%, draw 20%, Kingborough Lions 59%.
How many goals are expected in Glenorchy Knights FC vs Kingborough Lions?
The model expects 3.7 goals (Glenorchy Knights FC 1.35 · Kingborough Lions 2.35), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Glenorchy Knights FC vs Kingborough Lions?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.