Prediction: Clarence Zebras FC vs Launceston City

Expected goals: 4.23 (Clarence Zebras FC 1.79 · Launceston City 2.44). The model gives 28% home, 21% draw, 52% away. Over 3.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-2.

On recent form, Clarence Zebras FC is 4-3-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Launceston City 6-0-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Clarence Zebras FC and 4 for Launceston City, with 2 draws.

52%2
28% 21% 52%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Clarence Zebras FC 1506 · Launceston City 1538
Clarence Zebras FCDrawLaunceston City
Our model28%21%52%
Market28%21%52%
Estimated total (ours) 4.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.23Clarence Zebras FC 1.79 · Launceston City 2.44
Over / Under 3.75Over 3.75 · 52%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Launceston City: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 14 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Clarence Zebras FCLaunceston City
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.52.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.91.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 7.92.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.13.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Clarence Zebras FC 024 Launceston City

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Australia Tasmania Premier League
Launceston City2-0
HT 2-0
Clarence Zebras FC
02/08/25
Australia Tasmania Premier League
Launceston City12-3
HT 5-1
Clarence Zebras FC
31/05/25
Australia Tasmania Premier League
Clarence Zebras FC0-3
HT 0-2
Launceston City
22/03/25
Australia Tasmania Premier League
Launceston City3-0
HT 1-0
Clarence Zebras FC
24/08/24
Australia Tasmania Premier League
Clarence Zebras FC2-2
HT 0-2
Launceston City
29/06/24
Australia Tasmania Premier League
Clarence Zebras FC1-1
HT 1-0
Launceston City

Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 South Hobart 141121 521235
2 Kingborough Lions 141013 411431
3 Devonport City 131012 401531
4 Launceston City 12804 322124
5 Clarence Zebras FC 14635 232221
6 Riverside Olympic 13625 252120
7 South East United FC 144010 154412
8 Glenorchy Knights FC 14329 182811
9 Launceston United 12129 13425
10 Ulverstone 141112 12524

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentClarence Zebras FCLaunceston City
Glenorchy Knights FC 2-2 D 2-1 W
Launceston United 1-1 D 7-1 W
Devonport City 2-2 D 1-3 L
South Hobart 1-3 L 1-8 L
South East United FC 2-1 W 1-0 W
Kingborough Lions 0-4 L 1-2 L
Ulverstone 4-0 W 3-1 W
Riverside Olympic 4-0 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 2 L 4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Clarence Zebras FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Clarence Zebras FC

WLWWLWLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Glenorchy Knights FC
Australia Tasmania Premier League
1-2 2-2 55 D
27/06 Launceston United
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-0 1-1 112 D
20/06 Devonport City
Australia Tasmania Premier League
1-1 2-2 45 D
13/06 South Hobart
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-1 1-3 53 L
31/05 South East United FC
Australia Tasmania Premier League
1-1 2-1 71 W
23/05 Kingborough Lions
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-2 0-4 64 L
10/05 Ulverstone
Australia Tasmania Premier League
3-0 4-0 144 W
02/05 Riverside Olympic
Australia Tasmania Premier League
2-0 4-0 151 W
18/04 Launceston City
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-2 0-2 34 L
11/04 Glenorchy Knights FC
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-0 2-0 98 W

Launceston City

LWWWLLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 South East United FC
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-0 1-0 33 W
14/06 Ulverstone
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-0 3-1 91 W
30/05 Glenorchy Knights FC
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-0 2-1 84 W
24/05 Devonport City
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-1 1-3 76 L
09/05 South Hobart
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-2 1-8 40 L
02/05 Kingborough Lions
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-1 1-2 36 L
18/04 Clarence Zebras FC
Australia Tasmania Premier League
2-0 2-0 44 W
10/04 Launceston United
Australia Tasmania Premier League
6-0 7-1 73 W
28/03 South East United FC
Australia Tasmania Premier League
1-1 6-1 64 W
20/03 Riverside Olympic
Australia Tasmania Premier League
2-1 2-3 104 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Clarence Zebras FC vs Launceston City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Launceston City win (52%). Probabilities: Clarence Zebras FC 28%, draw 21%, Launceston City 52%.

How many goals are expected in Clarence Zebras FC vs Launceston City?

The model expects 4.23 goals (Clarence Zebras FC 1.79 · Launceston City 2.44), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Clarence Zebras FC vs Launceston City?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.