Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 01/08, 06:30
Prediction: Kingborough Lions vs Launceston United
Team pages: Kingborough Lions · Launceston United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.66Total
Kingborough Lions3.18
Launceston United1.48
1X2
Kingborough Lions
Draw
Launceston United
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kingborough Lions
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Launceston United
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kingborough Lions
6–0
Launceston United
(6 last)
- Launceston United1-7Kingborough Lions
- Launceston United0-1Kingborough Lions
- Kingborough Lions4-0Launceston United
- Launceston United1-2Kingborough Lions
- Kingborough Lions6-1Launceston United
- Launceston United0-6Kingborough Lions
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kingborough Lions (rating 1587 vs 1386).
- H2H favours Kingborough Lions: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kingborough Lions | Launceston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 1 | 1.3 / 3.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.1 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kingborough Lions 6–0–0 Launceston United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 1-7 HT 1-4 | Kingborough Lions |
| 30/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Kingborough Lions |
| 12/07/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Kingborough Lions | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Launceston United |
| 03/05/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Kingborough Lions |
| 07/09/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Kingborough Lions | 6-1 HT 4-1 | Launceston United |
| 13/07/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 0-6 HT 0-2 | Kingborough Lions |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Devonport City | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 49 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Kingborough Lions | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 46 | 15 | 37 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | Riverside Olympic | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 24 |
| 6 | Clarence Zebras FC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 24 |
| 7 | South East United FC | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 47 | 15 |
| 8 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 14 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | 57 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 56 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kingborough Lions | Launceston United |
|---|---|---|
| Launceston City | 3-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Glenorchy Knights FC | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Ulverstone | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Devonport City | 2-1 W | 0-6 L |
| South Hobart | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| South East United FC | 9-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Riverside Olympic | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Clarence Zebras FC | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Kingborough Lions (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kingborough Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Melbourne Victory Australia Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
7-0 | 9-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
4-1 | 7-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Launceston United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-6 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/07 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/07 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/07 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-4 | 1-7 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kingborough Lions vs Launceston United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kingborough Lions win (70%). Probabilities: Kingborough Lions 70%, draw 15%, Launceston United 14%.
How many goals are expected in Kingborough Lions vs Launceston United?
The model expects 4.66 goals (Kingborough Lions 3.18 · Launceston United 1.48), with a 53% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kingborough Lions vs Launceston United?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.