Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 01/08, 06:30

Prediction: South East United FC vs Riverside Olympic

Team pages: South East United FC · Riverside Olympic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

South East United FC1.45

Riverside Olympic2.3

1X2

24% 20% 56%

South East United FC Draw Riverside Olympic

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

South East United FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Riverside Olympic 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLDWLWLD

Head-to-head

South East United FC 0–1 Riverside Olympic (1 last)

Riverside Olympic5-0South East United FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · South East United FC 1496 · Riverside Olympic 1481

	South East United FC	Draw	Riverside Olympic
Our model	23%	21%	56%
Market	24%	19%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	South East United FC	Riverside Olympic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.4	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.5	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.2	3.5 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.70

X4.75

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:09 +3’	3.70	4.75	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · South East United FC 0–0–1 Riverside Olympic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Riverside Olympic	5-0 HT 3-0	South East United FC

Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	South Hobart	16	13	2	1	57	13	41
2	Devonport City	16	12	1	3	49	18	37
3	Kingborough Lions	16	12	1	3	46	15	37
4	Launceston City	16	10	1	5	39	27	31
5	Riverside Olympic	16	7	3	6	28	25	24
6	Clarence Zebras FC	16	7	3	6	28	26	24
7	South East United FC	16	5	0	11	19	47	15
8	Glenorchy Knights FC	16	4	2	10	20	30	14
9	Launceston United	16	1	2	13	16	57	5
10	Ulverstone	16	1	1	14	12	56	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	South East United FC	Riverside Olympic
Launceston United	4-1 W	1-0 W
Devonport City	0-2 L	1-4 L
South Hobart	1-0 W	1-1 D
Launceston City	0-1 L	0-0 D
Glenorchy Knights FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Kingborough Lions	0-9 L	0-3 L
Clarence Zebras FC	1-2 L	2-4 L
Ulverstone	2-0 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: South East United FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

South East United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	4-1	7	1	W
11/07	Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-2	0-2	0	4	L
05/07	South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
28/06	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
20/06	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
14/06	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-7	0-9	0	1	L
31/05	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-1	1-2	9	1	L
23/05	Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	2-0	6	10	W
09/05	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-3	0-5	4	1	L
02/05	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	3-2	6-4	3	4	W

Riverside Olympic

LWDLDWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
18/07	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-2	2-4	4	2	L
10/07	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
04/07	Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-3	1-4	7	6	L
27/06	Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League	3-0	6-0	7	2	W
13/06	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
30/05	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	0-3	7	6	L
23/05	South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
09/05	South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	3-0	5-0	13	1	W
02/05	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-2	0-4	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in South East United FC vs Riverside Olympic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Riverside Olympic win (56%). Probabilities: South East United FC 24%, draw 20%, Riverside Olympic 56%.

How many goals are expected in South East United FC vs Riverside Olympic?

The model expects 3.75 goals (South East United FC 1.45 · Riverside Olympic 2.3), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in South East United FC vs Riverside Olympic?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.