Football · Brazil Serie A · 24/10, 01:00

Prediction: Cruzeiro vs Remo

Team pages: Cruzeiro · Remo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Cruzeiro2.32

Remo0.8

1X2

71% 19% 10%

Cruzeiro Draw Remo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cruzeiro 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLWWL

Remo 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLLLDD

Head-to-head

Cruzeiro 2–3 Remo (5 last)

Remo0-1Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro1-0Remo
Remo2-1Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro1-3Remo
Remo1-0Cruzeiro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cruzeiro 1537 · Remo 1409

	Cruzeiro	Draw	Remo
Our model	71%	19%	10%
Market	71%	19%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cruzeiro (rating 1537 vs 1409).
H2H favours Remo: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cruzeiro	Remo
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.6	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:00 +156’	1.33	5.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cruzeiro 2–0–3 Remo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Brazil Serie A	Remo	0-1 HT 0-1	Cruzeiro
13/05/22 Copa do Brasil	Cruzeiro	1-0 HT 0-0	Remo
20/04/22 Copa do Brasil	Remo	2-1 HT 0-0	Cruzeiro
29/10/21 Brazil Serie B	Cruzeiro	1-3 HT 1-1	Remo
21/07/21 Brazil Serie B	Remo	1-0 HT 1-0	Cruzeiro

Standings · Brazil Serie A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Palmeiras	31	19	9	3	54	22	66
2	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	58	25	64
3	Athletico Paranaense	31	15	8	8	49	37	53
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	48	37	51
5	Atletico Mineiro	31	14	8	9	42	35	50
6	EC Bahia	30	13	10	7	44	36	49
7	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	46	44	48
8	Sao Paulo	31	12	6	13	36	35	42
9	Santos	30	11	9	10	46	45	42
10	Bragantino	30	11	7	12	38	35	40
11	Botafogo	31	10	9	12	44	48	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38	49	39
13	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33	44	36
14	Mirassol	31	9	9	13	36	44	36
15	Vasco da Gama	30	9	8	13	36	43	35
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	31	38	32
17	Internacional	31	7	11	13	33	40	32
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	32	40	31
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33	48	25
20	Chapecoense	30	3	9	18	30	62	18

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cruzeiro	Remo
Santos	1-2 L	1-2 L
Vasco da Gama	1-3 L	0-0 D
Flamengo	2-1 W	0-1 L
Mirassol	3-1 W	1-2 L
Coritiba	1-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Cruzeiro (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cruzeiro

WWWWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Bragantino Brazil Serie A	1-3	2-4	6	4	L
08/10	Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
20/09	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	0-1	3-1	2	3	W
13/09	Santos Brazil Serie A	0-2	1-2	3	5	L
06/09	Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
30/08	Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-3	3	3	L
23/08	Flamengo Brazil Serie A	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
17/08	Corinthians Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
09/08	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
31/07	Coritiba Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-0	2	2	W

Remo

LDDLLLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
08/10	Gremio Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
19/09	Santos Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-2	5	7	L
15/09	EC Bahia Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
06/09	Flamengo Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
01/09	Coritiba Brazil Serie A	0-0	2-3	9	4	L
22/08	Fluminense Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
18/08	Internacional Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
08/08	Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
30/07	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cruzeiro vs Remo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cruzeiro win (71%). Probabilities: Cruzeiro 71%, draw 19%, Remo 10%.

How many goals are expected in Cruzeiro vs Remo?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Cruzeiro 2.32 · Remo 0.8), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cruzeiro vs Remo?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.