Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 10/09, 18:00

Prediction: JK Tammeka Tartu II vs JK Viljandi Tulevik

Team pages: JK Tammeka Tartu II · JK Viljandi Tulevik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.12Total

JK Tammeka Tartu II2.19

JK Viljandi Tulevik1.93

1X2

44% 21% 35%

JK Tammeka Tartu II Draw JK Viljandi Tulevik

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

JK Tammeka Tartu II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWLLLL

JK Viljandi Tulevik 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDLLDDLW

Head-to-head

JK Tammeka Tartu II 2–3–1 JK Viljandi Tulevik (6 last)

JK Viljandi Tulevik0-0JK Tammeka Tartu II
JK Viljandi Tulevik2-2JK Tammeka Tartu II
JK Tammeka Tartu II3-1JK Viljandi Tulevik
JK Tammeka Tartu II1-1JK Viljandi Tulevik
JK Viljandi Tulevik3-1JK Tammeka Tartu II
JK Tammeka Tartu II4-1JK Viljandi Tulevik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Tammeka Tartu II 1478 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 1449

	JK Tammeka Tartu II	Draw	JK Viljandi Tulevik
Our model	44%	22%	34%
Market	45%	20%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 4.12 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JK Tammeka Tartu II: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Tammeka Tartu II	JK Viljandi Tulevik
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.3	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	2.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.82

Under 4.251.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:52 +1’	2.00	4.50	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Tammeka Tartu II 2–3–1 JK Viljandi Tulevik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Viljandi Tulevik	0-0 HT 0-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II
22/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Viljandi Tulevik	2-2 HT 1-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II
26/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	3-1 HT 3-0	JK Viljandi Tulevik
24/10/24 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	1-1 HT 1-0	JK Viljandi Tulevik
22/09/24 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Viljandi Tulevik	3-1 HT 1-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II
19/05/24 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	4-1 HT 1-0	JK Viljandi Tulevik

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	27	17	2	8	71	46	53
2	JK Trans Narva II	26	16	3	7	65	34	51
3	JK Tammeka Tartu II	27	14	4	9	71	56	46
4	Johvi FC Phoenix	27	14	3	10	61	61	45
5	Parnu JK Vaprus II	27	13	4	10	81	55	43
6	FA Tartu Kalev	27	13	2	12	65	51	41
7	JK Viljandi Tulevik	27	12	5	10	67	54	41
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	27	10	2	15	40	73	32
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	27	6	5	16	52	70	23
10	Tallinna JK Legion	26	3	2	21	23	96	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Tammeka Tartu II	JK Viljandi Tulevik
Tabasalu FC Charma	2-3 L	0-2 L
FC Levadia Tallinn U19	2-5 L	1-4 L
Johvi FC Phoenix	2-3 L	0-0 D
FA Tartu Kalev	1-2 L	2-4 L
Tallinna JK Legion	3-0 W	3-0 W
Parnu JK Vaprus II	2-2 D	2-2 D
JK Tallinna Kalev II	5-4 W	1-2 L
JK Trans Narva II	2-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: JK Tammeka Tartu II (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JK Tammeka Tartu II

LWWDDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	2-3	5	4	L
31/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	2-5	3	9	L
23/08	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	1	6	L
20/08	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	3-0	4	3	W
10/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	2-2	7	7	D
01/08	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
20/07	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-3	5-4	3	6	W
12/07	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
04/07	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	1	3	L

JK Viljandi Tulevik

LLDDLLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	3-0	8	1	W
30/08	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	1-2	5	1	L
23/08	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-2	3-3	9	2	D
20/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
16/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
08/08	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	2-4	2	5	L
01/08	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
25/07	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
11/07	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
05/07	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Tammeka Tartu II vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Tammeka Tartu II win (44%). Probabilities: JK Tammeka Tartu II 44%, draw 21%, JK Viljandi Tulevik 35%.

How many goals are expected in JK Tammeka Tartu II vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

The model expects 4.12 goals (JK Tammeka Tartu II 2.19 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 1.93), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Tammeka Tartu II vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.