Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 19/09, 18:00
Prediction: Johvi FC Phoenix vs Tabasalu FC Charma
Team pages: Johvi FC Phoenix · Tabasalu FC Charma
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.97Total
Johvi FC Phoenix2.33
Tabasalu FC Charma1.64
1X2
Johvi FC Phoenix
Draw
Tabasalu FC Charma
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Johvi FC Phoenix
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Tabasalu FC Charma
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Johvi FC Phoenix
2–2–2
Tabasalu FC Charma
(6 last)
- Johvi FC Phoenix1-2Tabasalu FC Charma
- Tabasalu FC Charma2-1Johvi FC Phoenix
- Tabasalu FC Charma2-2Johvi FC Phoenix
- Johvi FC Phoenix3-1Tabasalu FC Charma
- Johvi FC Phoenix2-2Tabasalu FC Charma
- Tabasalu FC Charma1-3Johvi FC Phoenix
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Johvi FC Phoenix (rating 1513 vs 1465).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Johvi FC Phoenix | Tabasalu FC Charma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.9 | 1.1 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.6 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Johvi FC Phoenix 2–2–2 Tabasalu FC Charma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | Johvi FC Phoenix | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Tabasalu FC Charma |
| 18/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | Tabasalu FC Charma | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Johvi FC Phoenix |
| 18/09/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | Tabasalu FC Charma | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Johvi FC Phoenix |
| 16/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | Johvi FC Phoenix | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Tabasalu FC Charma |
| 10/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | Johvi FC Phoenix | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Tabasalu FC Charma |
| 12/04/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | Tabasalu FC Charma | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Johvi FC Phoenix |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JK Trans Narva II | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 67 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 29 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 74 | 52 | 53 |
| 3 | Johvi FC Phoenix | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 68 | 66 | 51 |
| 4 | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 74 | 59 | 49 |
| 5 | FA Tartu Kalev | 29 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 71 | 52 | 47 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 95 | 62 | 46 |
| 7 | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 74 | 60 | 44 |
| 8 | Tabasalu FC Charma | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 78 | 33 |
| 9 | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 59 | 75 | 26 |
| 10 | Tallinna JK Legion | 29 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 25 | 111 | 12 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Johvi FC Phoenix | Tabasalu FC Charma |
|---|---|---|
| JK Tallinna Kalev II | 4-3 W | 1-4 L |
| Parnu JK Vaprus II | 3-2 W | 0-6 L |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 2-6 L | 0-3 L |
| FA Tartu Kalev | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| JK Tammeka Tartu II | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| JK Trans Narva II | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Tallinna JK Legion | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| JK Viljandi Tulevik | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Johvi FC Phoenix (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johvi FC Phoenix
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 13 | W |
| 10/09 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
4-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
Tabasalu FC Charma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 11/09 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-4 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johvi FC Phoenix vs Tabasalu FC Charma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Johvi FC Phoenix win (52%). Probabilities: Johvi FC Phoenix 52%, draw 21%, Tabasalu FC Charma 26%.
How many goals are expected in Johvi FC Phoenix vs Tabasalu FC Charma?
The model expects 3.97 goals (Johvi FC Phoenix 2.33 · Tabasalu FC Charma 1.64), with a 56% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Johvi FC Phoenix vs Tabasalu FC Charma?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.